Acadia Realty Trust (Acadia Realty Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Acadia Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acadia Realty Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Acadia Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Acadia Realty Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Acadia Realty Trust (Acadia Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

WX1:Germany

Address

411 Theodore Fremd Avenue, Suite 300, Rye, NY, USA, 10580

Website

https://www.acadiarealty.com

Acadia Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust which specializes in the operation, management, leasing, renovation, and acquisition of shopping centers and mixed-use properties with retail components. The company's portfolios are located primarily in metropolitan areas of the United States. The company operates through three segments: core portfolio, which consists primarily of high-quality retail properties located primarily in high-barrier-to-entry, densely-populated metropolitan areas with a long-term investment horizon and generates the majority of total revenue; funds, which comprises the funds launched by the trust; and structured financing, which consists of notes receivable and related interest income.

Executives

John J. Gottfried	officer: Senior Vice President/CFO	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 411 THEODORE FREMD AVE., SUITE 300, RYE NY 10580
Jason Blacksberg	officer: Sr. V.P. and General Counsel	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 1311 MAMARONECK AVE. STE. 260, WHITE PLAINS NY 10605
Lee S Wielansky	director	PAUL HASTINGS, 75 EAST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Joseph Napolitano	officer: Sr. Vice President	PAUL HASTINGS, 75 EAST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Douglas Ii Crocker	director	C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Kenneth F Bernstein	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 411 THEODORE FREMD AVENUE, SUITE 300, RYE NY 10580
C David Zoba	director	C/O GALYAN'S TRADING CO, 2437 EAST MAIN ST, PLAINFIELD IN 46168
Hope B Woodhouse	director	1601 UTICA AVENUE, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Wendy W Luscombe	director	480 TAGHKANIC CHURCH TOWN ROAD, CRARYVILLE NY 12521
Mark A Denien	director	600 E 96TH ST, #100, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46240
Christopher Conlon	officer: Executive Vice President	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 1311 MAMARONECK AVE., SUITE 260, WHITE PLAINS NY 10605
Lorrence T Kellar	director	C/O LOEHMANNS INC, 2500 HALSEY STREET, BRONX NY 10461
Mcintyre Kenneth A Jr	director	C/O HUDSON CITY BANCORP, INC., WEST 80 CENTURY ROAD, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Richard Hartmann	officer: Senior Vice President	C/O ACADIA REALTY TRUST, 1311 MAMARONECK AVE., SUITE 260, WHITE PLAINS NY 10605
Lynn C Thurber	director	JONES LANG LASALLE INCORPORTED, 200 E RANDOLPH DR, CHICAGO IL 60601