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SolarWinds (SolarWinds) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.94 (As of Mar24)


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What is SolarWinds Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, SolarWinds's earnings power value is $1.94. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -528.83

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


SolarWinds Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SolarWinds Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

SolarWinds Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 2.56 1.91

SolarWinds Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.09 2.16 2.04 1.91 1.94

Competitive Comparison of SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



SolarWinds Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

SolarWinds's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 741.3
DDA 158.5
Operating Margin % 14.11
SGA * 25% 89.3
Tax Rate % 53.80
Maintenance Capex 16.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 312.8
Short-Term Debt 24.0
Long-Term Debt 1,242.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 171.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 14.11%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $741.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 14.11%, Average Adjusted SGA = 89.3,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 741.3 * 14.11% +89.3 = $193.937463074 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 53.80%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $193.937463074 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 193.937463074 * ( 1 - 53.80% ) = $89.602986689449 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 158.5 * 0.5 * 53.80% = $42.642392922 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 89.602986689449 + 42.642392922 = $132.24537961145 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
SolarWinds's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $16.6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. SolarWinds's current cash and cash equivalent = $312.8 Mil.
SolarWinds's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,242.2 + 24.0 = $1266.195 Mil.
SolarWinds's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 171.2 Mil.

SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 132.24537961145 - 16.6)/ 9%+312.8-1266.195 )/171.2
=1.94

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.9385194756481-12.19 )/1.9385194756481
= -528.83%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


SolarWinds  (NYSE:SWI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


SolarWinds Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SolarWinds's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SolarWinds (SolarWinds) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7171 Southwest Parkway, Building 400, Austin, TX, USA, 78735
SolarWinds Corp is a provider of information technology (IT), and management software. Company offers full-stack observability solutions. The company's business is focused on building products that enable technology professionals and leaders to securely monitor and manage the performance of their IT environments, whether on-premises, in the cloud or in hybrid deployments. The products offered are designed to monitor and manage networks, systems, databases and applications across on-premises, multi-cloud and hybrid IT environments without the need for customization or professional services. Majority of company's revenue is earned in United States.
Executives
Easwaran Sundaram director C/O JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION, 27-01 QUEENS PLAZA NORTH, LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101
Jason Bliss officer: EVP General Counsel 7171 SOUTHWEST PKWY STE 400, AUSTIN TX 78735-6140
Rohini Kasturi officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 400, AUSTIN TX 78735
Andrea Webb officer: EVP, Chief Customer Officer 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 400, AUSTIN TX 78735
Sudhakar Ramakrishna director, officer: CEO & President 4750 WILLOW RD., PLEASANTON CA 94588
Cathleen A Benko director ONE BOWERMAN DRIVE, BEAVERTON OR 97005
Douglas P Smith director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
David Gardiner officer: Executive VP, Core IT 7171 SOUTHWEST PKWY STE 400, AUSTIN TX 78735-6140
James Barton Kalsu officer: EVP CFO & Treasurer 7171 SOUTHWEST PARKWAY, BUILDING 400, AUSTIN TX 78735
Hermes Usa Investors Venture Ii, Lp other: See Remarks C/O CORPORATION SERVICES COMPANY, 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 19808-1674
Neuberger Berman Insurance Fund Series Interests Of The Sali Multi-series Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 325 N. SAINT PAUL STREET, SUITE 4900, DALLAS TX 75201
Harbourvest Global Annual Private Equity Fund L.p. other: See Remarks HARBOURVEST PARTNERS, LLC, ONE FINANCIAL CENTER, 44TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02111
Alpinvest Partners B.v. 10 percent owner JACHTHAVENWEG 118, AMSTERDAM P7 1081 KJ
Nb Alternatives Advisers Llc 10 percent owner 325 N. SAINT PAUL STREET, SUITE 4900, DALLAS TX 75201
Howard Hughes Medical Institute other: HHMI is a member of 10% group 4000 JONES BRIDGE ROAD, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815-6789