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Neoleukin Therapeutics (Neoleukin Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $16.27 (As of Sep23)


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What is Neoleukin Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, Neoleukin Therapeutics's earnings power value is $16.27. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 78.54

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Neoleukin Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Neoleukin Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Neoleukin Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 86.17 99.80 77.87 58.42 41.85

Neoleukin Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.91 41.85 36.75 35.90 34.61

Competitive Comparison of Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Neoleukin Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Neoleukin Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 1.72
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 4.54
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 2.04
Cash and Cash Equivalents 78.51
Short-Term Debt 1.55
Long-Term Debt 9.14
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2.78

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.54,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +4.54 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.72 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Neoleukin Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.04 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Neoleukin Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $78.51 Mil.
Neoleukin Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 9.14 + 1.55 = $10.693 Mil.
Neoleukin Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2.78 Mil.

Neoleukin Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 2.04)/ 9%+78.51-10.693 )/2.78
=16.27

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 16.265705705706-3.49 )/16.265705705706
= 78.54%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Neoleukin Therapeutics  (NAS:NLTX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Neoleukin Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Neoleukin Therapeutics (Neoleukin Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
188 East Blaine Street, Suite 450, Seattle, WA, USA, 98102
Neoleukin Therapeutics Inc operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The firm generates immunotherapies using de novo protein design technology. It uses computational methods to design proteins that demonstrate specific pharmaceutical properties that provide potentially superior therapeutic benefits over native proteins to treat serious diseases, including cancer, inflammatory, and autoimmune disorders. Its product line comprises NL-201, which is a combined IL-2 and IL-15 agonist designed to eliminate alpha receptor binding.
Executives
Baker Bros. Advisors Lp 10 percent owner 860 WASHINGTON STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Sean Michael Smith officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O NEOLEUKIN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 188 E. BLAINE STREET, SUITE 450, SEATTLE WA 98102
Priti Patel officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O NEOLEUKIN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 188 EAST BLAINE STREET, #450, SEATTLE WA 98102
Erin Lavelle director C/O ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 11804 NORTH CREEK PARKWAY SOUTH, BOTHELL WA 98011
Donna Cochener officer: General Counsel, SVP Legal C/O NEOLEUKIN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 188 EAST BLAINE STREET, SUITE 450, SEATTLE WA 98102
Rohan Palekar director 201 SPEAR STREET, THIRD FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Jonathan G Drachman director, officer: See Remarks 21823 30TH DRIVE SE, BOTHELL WA 98021
Carl Walkey officer: Senior Vice President C/O NEOLEUKIN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 360-1616 EASTLAKE AVENUE EAST, SEATTLE WA 98102
Robert Ho officer: Chief Financial Officer 360-1616 EASTLAKE AVENUE EAST, SEATTLE WA 98102
Holly Vance officer: General Counsel C/O NEOLEUKIN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 360-1616 EASTLAKE AVENUE E., SEATTLE WA 98102
Martin Babler director C/O INFINITY PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 780 MEMORIAL DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Erin M. Lavelle director 360-1616 EASTLAKE AVENUE EAST, SEATTLE WA 98102
Redmile Group, Llc 10 percent owner ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, SUITE D3-300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Jeremy Green 10 percent owner 45 W. 27TH STREET, FLOOR 11, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sarah B. Noonberg director 331 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080

Neoleukin Therapeutics (Neoleukin Therapeutics) Headlines

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