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Edensoft Holdings (HKSE:01147) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$0.12 (As of Dec23)


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What is Edensoft Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Edensoft Holdings's earnings power value is HK$0.12. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 40.88

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Edensoft Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Edensoft Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Edensoft Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 0.25 0.26 0.16 0.12

Edensoft Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.26 - 0.16 - 0.12

Competitive Comparison of Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Edensoft Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Edensoft Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 866.3
DDA 4.5
Operating Margin % 1.68
SGA * 25% 13.4
Tax Rate % 8.72
Maintenance Capex 0.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 22.7
Short-Term Debt 56.3
Long-Term Debt 4.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2,044.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.68%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$866.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.68%, Average Adjusted SGA = 13.4,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 866.3 * 1.68% +13.4 = HK$27.93675152 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 8.72%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$27.93675152 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 27.93675152 * ( 1 - 8.72% ) = HK$25.499549317395 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 4.5 * 0.5 * 8.72% = HK$0.196525548 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 25.499549317395 + 0.196525548 = HK$25.696074865395 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Edensoft Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$0.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Edensoft Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$22.7 Mil.
Edensoft Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 4.2 + 56.3 = HK$60.502 Mil.
Edensoft Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2,044.9 Mil.

Edensoft Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 25.696074865395 - 0.5)/ 9%+22.7-60.502 )/2,044.9
=0.12

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.11841227759826-0.07 )/0.11841227759826
= 40.88%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Edensoft Holdings  (HKSE:01147) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Edensoft Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Edensoft Holdings (HKSE:01147) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hua Fu Street, 1006 Shennan Road, West, 2nd Floor, Building A, Futian Technology Square, Shenzhen International Innovation Center, Futian District, Shenzhen, CHN
Edensoft Holdings Ltd is engaged in provision of IT infrastructure services, IT implementation and supporting services and cloud services in the PRC. Its segment includes IT infrastructure services; IT implementation and supporting services; and Cloud services. It derives key revenue from the IT infrastructure services segment that assess customers' needs and their existing IT environment and providing IT infrastructure services by advising them on the suitable hardware and software products that their IT environment would require, and procuring the relevant hardware and software products from IT products vendors and installing these IT products in customers' IT environment. It operates in Mainland China and Hong Kong, of which prime revenue is derived from Mainland China.
Executives
Ding Xinyun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Green Leaf Development Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Aztec Pearl Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Cai Aaron Ding 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Tricor Equity Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Yan Shi 2202 Interest of your spouse

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