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Unit4 NV (FRA:UNT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-2.83 (As of Dec13)


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What is Unit4 NV Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec13, Unit4 NV's earnings power value is €-2.83. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Unit4 NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Unit4 NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Unit4 NV Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.48 0.58 -0.19 -0.62 -2.83

Unit4 NV Semi-Annual Data
Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.48 0.58 -0.19 -0.62 -2.83

Competitive Comparison of Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Unit4 NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Unit4 NV's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 441.4
DDA 50.9
Operating Margin % 7.71
SGA * 25% 0.0
Tax Rate % 5.43
Maintenance Capex 30.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 23.1
Short-Term Debt 44.4
Long-Term Debt 95.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 29.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 7.71%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €441.4 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 7.71%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 441.4 * 7.71% +0.0 = €34.05175592 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 5.43%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €34.05175592 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 34.05175592 * ( 1 - 5.43% ) = €32.204107643781 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 50.9 * 0.5 * 5.43% = €1.381085206 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 32.204107643781 + 1.381085206 = €33.585192849781 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Unit4 NV's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €30.6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Unit4 NV's current cash and cash equivalent = €23.1 Mil.
Unit4 NV's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 95.8 + 44.4 = €140.172 Mil.
Unit4 NV's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 29.8 Mil.

Unit4 NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec13 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 33.585192849781 - 30.6)/ 9%+23.1-140.172 )/29.8
=-2.83

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -2.8290570429162-37.99 )/-2.8290570429162
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Unit4 NV  (FRA:UNT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Unit4 NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Unit4 NV (FRA:UNT) Business Description

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Unit4 NV was founded on 1980. The Company is a cloud business software and services company that helps dynamic public sector and commercial services organizations to embrace change simply, quickly and cost effectively in a market sector that call 'Businesses Living IN Change' (BLINC). The Group incorporates a number of change embracing software brands, including UNIT4 Agresso, our flagship ERP suite for mid-sized services intensive organizations. The Company's UNIT4 Coda, best-of-class financial management software; and FinancialForce.com, the cloud enterprise applications company formed with investment from salesforce.com. Its software products and services are designed to meet the needs of an ever changing business. The Company has about 300 customers with about 80,000 active users and local installations in around 20 countries.

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