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Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV (Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $59.11 (As of Mar18)


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What is Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar18, Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's earnings power value is $59.11. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.93 30.43 38.18 42.26 63.64

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Quarterly Data
Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.04 28.38 23.02 63.64 59.11

Competitive Comparison of Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 9,976
DDA 145
Operating Margin % 5.49
SGA * 25% 85
Tax Rate % -31.98
Maintenance Capex 65
Cash and Cash Equivalents 305
Short-Term Debt 2,534
Long-Term Debt 0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 103

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.49%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $9,976 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.49%, Average Adjusted SGA = 85,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 9,976 * 5.49% +85 = $632.681490252 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -31.98%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $632.681490252 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 632.681490252 * ( 1 - -31.98% ) = $835.04150150165 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 145 * 0.5 * -31.98% = $-23.266484835 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 835.04150150165 + -23.266484835 = $811.77501666665 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $65 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's current cash and cash equivalent = $305 Mil.
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0 + 2,534 = $2533.509 Mil.
Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 103 Mil.

Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar18 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 811.77501666665 - 65)/ 9%+305-2533.509 )/103
=59.11

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 59.110989491248-16.39 )/59.110989491248
= 72.27%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV  (NYSE:CBI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV (Chicago Bridge & Iron Co NV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Founded in 1889, Chicago Bridge & Iron provides a wide range of services, including conceptual design, technology, engineering, procurement, fabrication, modularization, construction, commissioning, maintenance, program management, and environmental services, to customers in the global energy infrastructure market. It also provides diversified government services. It generated 2017 adjusted revenue and adjusted EBIT of $5.8 billion and a loss of $180 million, respectively. CB&I employs 34,000 at active projects in more than 70 countries.
Executives
James H Miller director C/O CROWN HOLDINGS, INC., 770 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, YARDLEY PA 19067
W Craig Kissel director
Alexander Forbes I J director 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST N, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716-3718
Deborah M Fretz director 1801 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
L Richard Flury director 2000 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY S, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Richard W. Heo officer: Executive Vice President 2103 RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Westley S. Stockton officer: VP, Controller, CAO 2103 RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
James R Bolch director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY, 155 CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD, MONTVALE NJ 07645
Marsha C Williams director EQUITY OFFICE PROPERTIES, CHICAGO IL 60606
Michael S Taff officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 777 N ELDRIDGE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77079
Larry D Mcvay director 2000 W SAM HOUSTON PKWY S, SUITE 2000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Philip K Asherman director, officer: President and CEO 1450 LAKE ROBBINS DR.,, SUITE 400, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Chandler Richard E Jr officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer 1800 HUGHES LANDING BLVD, SUITE 250, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Sheila B Feldman officer: Executive Vice President
Ronald A Ballschmiede officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 1800 HUGHES LANDING BLVD, SUITE 250, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380

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