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Battalion Oil (Battalion Oil) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-56.46 (As of Mar24)


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What is Battalion Oil Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Battalion Oil's earnings power value is $-56.46. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Battalion Oil Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Battalion Oil Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Battalion Oil Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -506.80 -427.67 -361.43 -165.34 -71.85

Battalion Oil Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -145.16 -107.92 -94.00 -71.85 -56.46

Competitive Comparison of Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Battalion Oil Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Battalion Oil's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 247.2
DDA 62.0
Operating Margin % 4.23
SGA * 25% 5.6
Tax Rate % 0.36
Maintenance Capex 87.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents 48.9
Short-Term Debt 63.1
Long-Term Debt 127.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 16.5

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.23%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $247.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.23%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 247.2 * 4.23% +5.6 = $16.092677181 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.36%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $16.092677181 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 16.092677181 * ( 1 - 0.36% ) = $16.034099836061 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 62.0 * 0.5 * 0.36% = $0.112824712 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 16.034099836061 + 0.112824712 = $16.146924548061 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Battalion Oil's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $87.1 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Battalion Oil's current cash and cash equivalent = $48.9 Mil.
Battalion Oil's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 127.2 + 63.1 = $190.23 Mil.
Battalion Oil's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 16.5 Mil.

Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 16.146924548061 - 87.1)/ 9%+48.9-190.23 )/16.5
=-56.46

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -56.464648918015-5.655 )/-56.464648918015
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Battalion Oil  (AMEX:BATL) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Battalion Oil Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Battalion Oil's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Battalion Oil (Battalion Oil) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3505 West Sam Houston Parkway North, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77043
Battalion Oil Corp is an independent oil and gas producer operating exclusively in the Delaware Basin. It is an independent energy company focused on the acquisition, production, exploration, and development of onshore liquids-rich oil and natural gas assets in the United States. The company operates in one segment which focuses on oil and natural gas acquisition, production, exploration, and development.
Executives
Ajay Jegadeesan director 3505 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY N, HOUSTON TX 77043
Matthew Steele officer: CEO 3505 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY N, STE 300, HOUSTON TX 77043
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Brookfield Asset Management Inc. 10 percent owner BROOKFIELD PLACE, 181 BAY ST, STE 100, PO BOX 762, TORONTO A6 M5J2T3
Gen Iv Investment Opportunities, Llc 10 percent owner 1700 BROADWAY, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lsp Investment Advisors, Llc 10 percent owner 1700 BROADWAY, FL. 35, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lsp Generation Iv, Llc 10 percent owner 1700 BROADWAY, FLOOR 35, NEW YORK X1 10019
Bam Partners Trust 10 percent owner 181 BAY STREET, SUITE 300, TORONTO A6 M5J 2T3
Kristen Mcwatters officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer 801 LOUISIANA, SUITE 700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Richard Kevin Andrews officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer 1000 LOUISIANA ST, SUITE 6600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Richard H Little officer: Chief Executive Officer 1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 1500, HOUSTON TX 77002
Daniel P Rohling officer: Chief Operating Officer 1000 LOUISIANA ST, SUITE 6600, HOUSTON TX 77002
William D Rogers director P O BOX 30150, RENO NV 89520
Leah R. Kasparek officer: VP, Human Resources 1000 LOUISIANA STREEET, SUITE 6700, HOUSTON TX 77002
Gregory S. Hinds director 1875 LAWRENCE STREET, SUITE 200, DENVER CO 80202