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Atea Pharmaceuticals (Atea Pharmaceuticals) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $7.73 (As of Mar24)


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What is Atea Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Atea Pharmaceuticals's earnings power value is $7.73. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 52.2

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Atea Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Atea Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Atea Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 8.13

Atea Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 8.13 7.73

Competitive Comparison of Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Atea Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Atea Pharmaceuticals's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 80.00
DDA 0.17
Operating Margin % 4.94
SGA * 25% 9.05
Tax Rate % 4.31
Maintenance Capex 2.59
Cash and Cash Equivalents 541.49
Short-Term Debt 0.77
Long-Term Debt 1.45
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 83.92

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 4.94%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $80.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 4.94%, Average Adjusted SGA = 9.05,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 80.00 * 4.94% +9.05 = $12.9995 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 4.31%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $12.9995 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 12.9995 * ( 1 - 4.31% ) = $12.4390265575 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.17 * 0.5 * 4.31% = $0.003569922 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 12.4390265575 + 0.003569922 = $12.4425964795 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Atea Pharmaceuticals's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $2.59 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Atea Pharmaceuticals's current cash and cash equivalent = $541.49 Mil.
Atea Pharmaceuticals's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1.45 + 0.77 = $2.214 Mil.
Atea Pharmaceuticals's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 83.92 Mil.

Atea Pharmaceuticals's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 12.4425964795 - 2.59)/ 9%+541.49-2.214 )/83.92
=7.73

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 7.7308560517528-3.695 )/7.7308560517528
= 52.2%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Atea Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:AVIR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Atea Pharmaceuticals Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Atea Pharmaceuticals (Atea Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
225 Franklin Street, Suite 2100, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing antiviral therapeutics to improve the lives of patients suffering from serious viral infections. The company is developing its product candidate, bemnifosbuvir, for the treatment of COVID-19, the disease caused by infection with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its variants and also developing bemnifosbuvir in combination with ruzasvir for the treatment of Hepatitis C (HCV).
Executives
Franklin M Berger director 1000 MARINA BLVD, STE 200, BRISBANE CA 94005
Polly A. Murphy director C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Jerome M. Adams director C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Cormorant Global Healthcare Master Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Hack Andrew A. F. director 300 THIRD STREET, FIRST FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Rock Springs Capital Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1 9001
Jean-pierre Sommadossi director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO, and Chairman 125 SUMMER STREET, 16TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jpm Partners Llc 10 percent owner C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Chung K. Chu 10 percent owner C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Janet Mj Hammond officer: Chief Development Officer C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Isaac Cheng director C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
John Vavricka officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Bruno Lucidi director C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Maria Arantxa Horga officer: Acting Chief Medical Officer C/O ATEA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Bruce Polsky director C/O VISION-SCIENCES, INC., 40 RAMLAND ROAD, ORANGEBURG NY 10962

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