Vail Resorts (MTN, Financial) recently released data comparing ski season metrics for its North American properties from the start of the ski season through April 20, 2025, against the same period from the previous year ending April 21, 2024. This information excludes results from the company's Australian and European resorts. The company noted that the data is provisional and may be updated following fiscal quarter-end reviews.
During the current season, total skier visits decreased by 3.1% compared to the same timeframe last year. Despite this drop in visits, total lift ticket revenue saw an increase of 3.4%, factoring in a portion of season pass sales. Additionally, ski school revenue increased by 2.7%, and dining revenue rose by 2.2% year-over-year. However, retail and rental revenue from North American resort stores fell by 4.0%.
The CEO of Vail Resorts, Kirsten Lynch, commented on these findings, emphasizing the stability provided by the company’s season pass program and strong team performance. While overall visitation was lower, especially among lift ticket purchasers, the season pass program's success contributed to the lift revenue growth. Ancillary services like ski school and dining continued to perform well, despite the mixed visitation trends.
Overall, Vail Resorts' performance throughout the 2024/2025 ski season underscores the effectiveness of their strategic model and solidifies the company's standing in the industry, supported by a dedicated customer base and a robust network of resorts.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 11 analysts, the average target price for Vail Resorts Inc (MTN, Financial) is $190.27 with a high estimate of $247.00 and a low estimate of $152.00. The average target implies an upside of 37.11% from the current price of $138.77. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 13 brokerage firms, Vail Resorts Inc's (MTN, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.7, indicating "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Vail Resorts Inc (MTN, Financial) in one year is $260.49, suggesting a upside of 87.71% from the current price of $138.77. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Summary page.
