UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri has revised the price target for Texas Instruments (TXN, Financial), reducing it from $225 to $215. Despite this adjustment, the analyst maintains a Buy rating on the stock. The decision follows the company's first-quarter results and optimistic signals for the second quarter, which align with UBS's perspective that Texas Instruments is poised to benefit as a key player in the unfolding cyclical recovery.
The analyst suggests that the recent developments support the idea that Texas Instruments is enhancing its market position as economic conditions start to improve. Investors are advised to keep an eye on these dynamics as "Liberation Day" on April 2 approaches, a term used by the analyst to describe a pivotal moment in the market's recovery cycle.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 27 analysts, the average target price for Texas Instruments Inc (TXN, Financial) is $181.20 with a high estimate of $250.00 and a low estimate of $125.00. The average target implies an upside of 19.09% from the current price of $152.15. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 36 brokerage firms, Texas Instruments Inc's (TXN, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.8, indicating "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Texas Instruments Inc (TXN, Financial) in one year is $162.04, suggesting a upside of 6.5% from the current price of $152.15. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) Summary page.
TXN Key Business Developments
Release Date: April 23, 2025
- Revenue: $4.1 billion, up 2% sequentially and 11% year-over-year.
- Analog Revenue: Increased 13% year-over-year.
- Embedded Processing Revenue: Approximately flat year-over-year.
- Other Segment Revenue: Grew 23% from the year-ago quarter.
- Gross Profit: $2.3 billion, representing 57% of revenue.
- Operating Expenses: $989 million, up 6% from a year ago.
- Operating Profit: $1.3 billion, or 33% of revenue, up 3% year-over-year.
- Net Income: $1.2 billion, or $1.28 per share.
- Cash Flow from Operations: $849 million for the quarter.
- Capital Expenditures: $1.1 billion for the quarter.
- Free Cash Flow: $1.7 billion on a trailing 12-month basis.
- Dividends Paid: $1.2 billion in the quarter.
- Stock Repurchases: $653 million in the quarter.
- Total Debt Outstanding: $12.95 billion with a weighted average coupon of 3.93%.
- Inventory: $4.7 billion, up $160 million from the prior quarter.
- Second Quarter Revenue Guidance: Expected to be in the range of $4.17 billion to $4.53 billion.
- Second Quarter EPS Guidance: Expected to be in the range of $1.21 to $1.47.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
Positive Points
- Texas Instruments Inc (TXN, Financial) reported a revenue increase of 11% year-over-year, reaching $4.1 billion in the first quarter of 2025.
- Analog revenue grew by 13% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in this segment.
- The industrial market showed a broad recovery, increasing in upper single digits after seven consecutive quarters of decline.
- Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) returned $6.4 billion to shareholders over the past 12 months through dividends and stock repurchases.
- The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $5 billion in cash and short-term investments, providing financial stability.
Negative Points
- Gross profit margin decreased by 90 basis points sequentially, indicating some pressure on profitability.
- Operating expenses increased by 6% from the previous year, which could impact overall profitability.
- The personal electronics market declined by mid-teens, reflecting typical seasonal trends but also indicating potential weakness in this segment.
- There is high uncertainty in the global market due to tariffs and geopolitical tensions, which could impact future performance.
- Customer inventories are at low levels across all end markets, which could pose risks if demand does not recover as expected.
