Key Takeaways:
- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI, Financial) anticipates a 37.1% YoY decrease in Q1 earnings per share.
- The company's predicted Q1 revenue stands at $49.35 million.
- Analysts maintain a "Hold" rating with a modest potential upside of 4.51% based on the average target price.
Upcoming Earnings Report for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance
As Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE: ARI) prepares for its Q1 2023 earnings announcement on April 24, investors are bracing for a significant adjustment in performance metrics. Analysts are forecasting a 37.1% year-over-year decline in earnings per share (EPS), estimating it to land at $0.22. Revenue predictions for the quarter are set at $49.35 million. Historically, ARI has exceeded EPS expectations 75% of the time over the past two years, offering some hope for a positive surprise.
Wall Street's Prediction: Price Targets and Recommendations
According to insights from three prominent analysts, the average one-year price target for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stands at $9.50. This target accounts for a high estimate of $10.00 and a low estimate of $9.00. Given ARI's current trading price of $9.09, this suggests a potential gain of 4.51% over the next year. Investors seeking deeper analysis can visit the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI, Financial) Forecast page.
On the recommendation scale, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Sell), ARI holds an average score of 2.7, placing it firmly in the "Hold" category according to six brokerage firms. This reflects a cautious approach, weighing both potential gains and inherent risks.
GuruFocus's Valuation Insights
The GF Value metric, a proprietary measure from GuruFocus, estimates ARI's one-year fair trading value at $8.41. This valuation implies a potential downside of 7.48% from its current market price of $9.09. The GF Value considers the company's historical trading multiples, past business growth, and anticipated future performance. For a comprehensive view, investors are encouraged to review detailed metrics on the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI, Financial) Summary page.
