Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Reports Lower Than Expected Q1 Revenue | LOB Stock News

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7 days ago
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Live Oak Bancshares (LOB, Financial) announced its first-quarter financial results, revealing a revenue of $126.11 million. This figure falls short of market expectations, which projected the company to achieve $131.7 million in revenue for the quarter.

Despite the revenue miss, the bank has shown notable growth in both its lending and deposit sectors. The company has been successfully navigating the challenges posed by the current small business credit cycle amid a climate of economic uncertainty.

James Mahan, chairman and CEO of Live Oak Bancshares, emphasized the company's commitment to supporting small businesses. He noted that maintaining close relationships with customers remains a priority, as small businesses are crucial to the American economy. The bank continues to provide essential capital to entrepreneurs, helping them create jobs, innovate, and serve their communities effectively.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast

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Based on the one-year price targets offered by 2 analysts, the average target price for Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB, Financial) is $33.00 with a high estimate of $36.00 and a low estimate of $30.00. The average target implies an upside of 33.17% from the current price of $24.78. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB) Forecast page.

Based on the consensus recommendation from 3 brokerage firms, Live Oak Bancshares Inc's (LOB, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 3.0, indicating "Hold" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB, Financial) in one year is $47.03, suggesting a upside of 89.79% from the current price of $24.78. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB) Summary page.

Key Business Developments

Release Date: January 23, 2025

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.22 for Q4 2024.
  • Loan Originations: $1.4 billion in Q4 2024, a 45% increase compared to Q4 2023.
  • Loan Production: $5.2 billion for the year 2024, a 33% increase compared to 2023.
  • Loan Balance Growth: 4% quarter-over-quarter and 17% year-over-year.
  • Customer Deposit Growth: 1% in Q4 2024.
  • Business Checking Balances: Increased 46% quarter-over-quarter to $212 million.
  • Net Interest Income: Flat compared to Q3 2024, 9% above the prior year.
  • Net Interest Margin (NIM): Compressed by 18 basis points in Q4 2024.
  • Provision Expense: Elevated due to loan growth and increased classified assets.
  • Nonaccrual Impact: $3 million drag on interest income, compressing margin by 11 basis points.
  • Government Guaranteed Loan Portfolio: 34% of total loan portfolio.
  • Core Operating Expenses: Slightly up quarter-over-quarter due to growth-driven variable costs.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB, Financial) reported strong PPNR growth on both a reported and adjusted basis, showcasing excellent loan and deposit growth.
  • The company achieved record loan production in 2024, with pipelines steadily increasing, supporting optimistic outlook for 2025.
  • Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB) has a significant portion of its loan portfolio (34%) government guaranteed, providing credit quality and capital advantages.
  • The company is experiencing strong growth in checking account balances, which increased 46% quarter over quarter, indicating successful customer relationship expansion.
  • Live Oak Bancshares Inc (LOB) is leveraging AI technology to streamline processes, enhancing efficiency and focusing on customer success.

Negative Points

  • The company faced elevated provision expenses in the second half of 2024, primarily related to loans within the SBA portfolio.
  • There was a notable increase in default activity in the latter part of the fourth quarter, leading to impairments and charge-offs.
  • Net interest margin experienced compression due to rate cuts, impacting the company's financial performance.
  • The competitive deposit market poses challenges, with cautious repricing affecting the company's funding strategy.
  • Nonaccrual levels in Q4 caused a drag on interest income, compressing the margin by 11 basis points.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.