Duolingo (DUOL, Financial) experienced a significant stock movement today, with shares increasing by 10.49%. This surge in share price can be attributed to Morgan Stanley's initiation of coverage with a Buy rating for the company.
Morgan Stanley's endorsement labeled Duolingo as a "best-in-class consumer internet asset" and set a price target at $435. This target suggests a robust potential upside of approximately 30% from its current price of $371.62.
Duolingo Inc., listed under the stock symbol DUOL on the NASDAQ, has a market capitalization of $16,813.13 million. Though the company's shares have displayed strong growth, they also carry some risks as highlighted by the two severe warning signs. These warnings include possible financial result manipulations indicated by the Beneish M-Score of -1.61, which is higher than the typical threshold of -1.78, and asset growth outpacing revenue growth, pointing towards potential inefficiencies.
Despite these warning signs, Duolingo exhibits strong financial health. With a high Altman Z-Score of 22.31, indicating low bankruptcy risk, and a comfortable interest coverage ratio, Duolingo maintains a stable financial position. Its price-earnings (P/E) ratio is 197.78, reflecting high growth expectations from the market.
In terms of valuation, Duolingo's GF Value is assessed as "Significantly Overvalued" with a specific estimated GF Value of $259.09, suggesting the stock may be priced above its intrinsic value. For more insights, you can view Duolingo's GF Value on the GF Value page.
Investors should also note the strong momentum in Duolingo's stock, with a 52-week price change of 68.51% and a year-to-date change of 14.62%. While the stock's price movement reflects a positive outlook supported by substantial revenue growth of 41.5% over the past five years, caution is advised given its high valuation metrics.