ASML Stock Drops Amid Export Restrictions and Tariff Hikes

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Apr 16, 2025
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ASML Holding NV (ASML, Financial) saw its shares drop by 7.06%, closing at $634.93. The decline follows the company's recent financial report, where despite an earnings beat, revenues fell short of Wall Street expectations amidst broader market and geopolitical pressures.

ASML, a leader in semiconductor photolithography systems, reported first-quarter earnings of 6 euros per share, exceeding forecasts by 0.20 euros. Despite a 46% year-over-year increase in revenue to 7.74 billion euros, this figure fell short of analyst projections by approximately 40 million euros. The firm maintained its full-year revenue outlook between 30 billion and 35 billion euros, with projected gross margins ranging from 51% to 53%.

Despite robust financial results, ASML's stock performance was impacted by macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns. Recent changes in U.S. policies increased tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 245%, contributing to pressure across the semiconductor sector. Additional export restrictions for chipmakers like Nvidia and AMD have also had a negative ripple effect.

Furthermore, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's indication that interest rates are unlikely to see reductions in the near term has created an uncertain economic environment. This decision comes amidst considerations of how new tariffs might affect inflation and overall economic growth.

From an investment perspective, ASML's current valuation suggests some opportunity for interested investors. The stock's GF Value is evaluated as "Modestly Undervalued," with a GF Value assessment of $862.93. This suggests potential future appreciation, making it a stock to watch. For a more detailed evaluation, check out the GF Value page for ASML.

ASML's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 30.65, close to its 5-year low of 28.36, indicating the stock may still be reasonably valued. The company's strong financial position and expanding operating margin, currently at 31.92%, enhance its long-term investment appeal, despite short-term market fluctuations.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.