Alcoa (AA, Financial) has reaffirmed its production and shipment forecasts for 2025, indicating stability in its operations for both the alumina and aluminum segments. The company projects that its total alumina production and shipments will remain consistent with earlier estimates, targeting between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons for production and 13.1 to 13.3 million metric tons for shipments.
The discrepancy between production and shipment volumes is attributed to trading activities and the procurement of externally sourced alumina, a strategy employed to meet customer needs following the curtailment of operations at the Kwinana refinery.
Similarly, Alcoa's 2025 forecast for aluminum remains unchanged. Production is expected to fall within the range of 2.3 to 2.5 million metric tons, with shipments anticipated between 2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons. These projections reflect Alcoa's continued efforts to maintain stable output levels amidst operational adjustments.
Wall Street Analysts Forecast
Based on the one-year price targets offered by 9 analysts, the average target price for Alcoa Corp (AA, Financial) is $38.78 with a high estimate of $49.00 and a low estimate of $26.00. The average target implies an upside of 54.70% from the current price of $25.07. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Alcoa Corp (AA) Forecast page.
Based on the consensus recommendation from 12 brokerage firms, Alcoa Corp's (AA, Financial) average brokerage recommendation is currently 2.3, indicating "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.
Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Alcoa Corp (AA, Financial) in one year is $30.17, suggesting a upside of 20.34% from the current price of $25.07. GF Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on the historical multiples the stock has traded at previously, as well as past business growth and the future estimates of the business' performance. More detailed data can be found on the Alcoa Corp (AA) Summary page.
