Grocery Outlet (GO) Stock Up on Analyst Upgrade

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Apr 16, 2025
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Shares of Grocery Outlet (GO, Financial) experienced a significant increase, rising by 5.65%. This movement came after Jefferies upgraded the stock's rating from Neutral to Buy. The grocery retailer's strong positioning as a low-price operator is believed to be a key factor that can help it thrive during uncertain economic times.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO, Financial) is currently trading at $14.69, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.43 billion. The company has shown resilience in the consumer defensive sector, specifically within the grocery stores sub-industry. However, the company's Altman Z-Score of 2.1 indicates it is in the grey area, suggesting some financial stress. Additionally, Grocery Outlet's operating margin has been declining by an average of 6.4% per year over the past five years.

Despite these challenges, there are positive signals for the company. Insider buying is noteworthy, with six transactions totaling 244,000 shares over the past three months. Furthermore, the company boasts a Beneish M-Score of -2.55, implying it is unlikely to be a manipulator.

From a valuation standpoint, Grocery Outlet is considered "Significantly Undervalued" based on the GF Value, which is estimated at $35.01. This suggests that the stock could be trading well below its intrinsic value, offering a potential opportunity for investors.

The company currently holds a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.65 and a Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19, reflecting its current market valuation compared to its earnings and book value. Although the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), indicating potential inefficiencies, the company's growth in revenue, which has been reported at 11.5% over the past year, showcases promising prospects.

With its solid position as a low-priced grocery retailer, Grocery Outlet (GO, Financial) remains an intriguing option for investors looking for growth potential in a defensive sector.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.