COTY Stock Declines Amid Double Downgrade

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Apr 15, 2025
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Coty Inc. (COTY, Financial) experienced a significant drop of 9.48% in its stock price, now standing at $4.70. This decline follows a bearish analyst action from Bank of America, which downgraded Coty from "Buy" to "Sell". The downgrade reflects concerns over Coty's shrinking market share and weakened consumer spending, both of which pose potential challenges to the company's growth trajectory and profitability.

Evaluating Coty's current market position, the stock's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is at 1.08, placing it near a three-year low. This might suggest a potential valuation opportunity, albeit accompanied by some risks. Coty’s enterprise value (EV) is $8.36 billion, which indicates a significant leverage considering its market capitalization of $4.1 billion. The company’s EV/EBITDA stands at 11.23, offering insights into its valuation relative to earnings.

On the downside, Coty’s financial health appears to be in distress, as highlighted by its Altman Z-score of 0.29, which signals a potential bankruptcy risk over the next two years. Additionally, its revenue per share has been in a five-year decline, further underlining concerns about growth. The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) is 2.44%, falling short against its weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 5.66%, indicating inefficiencies in capital allocation.

The GF Value of Coty, estimated at $9.87, positions the stock in the "Possible Value Trap, Think Twice" category. This classification advises investors to reassess the stock's potential, as it may not be a bargain despite its seemingly low price. For more details on Coty's GF Value, visit GF Value.

Despite current challenges, Coty’s stock price is close to its 52-week low of $4.61. Its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is also near a historical low at 0.68, which might suggest undervaluation to some investors. However, given the severe warning signs and the bearish sentiment from market analysts, investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct thorough due diligence before acquiring shares of COTY.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.