Applied Digital (APLD) Stock Drops After Q3 Sales Miss

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Apr 15, 2025

Applied Digital (APLD, Financial) stock experienced a significant drop of 28.68% in its share price today, settling at $3.83. This decline followed the release of the company’s latest quarterly report, which failed to meet analyst expectations. The stock's performance is indicative of the market's negative reaction to the disappointing financial results and the overall outlook for the company.

In analyzing the financial health of Applied Digital (APLD, Financial), several key metrics point to challenges for the company. The GF Value suggests a potential value trap, urging investors to think twice before making investment decisions. The stock's GF Value is estimated at 9.89, which is considerably higher than its current trading price, indicating potential upside. However, the Financial Strength grade is poor, driven by concerning metrics such as an Altman Z-score of -0.14, which falls into the distress zone, implying potential bankruptcy risks within the next two years.

The company's profitability metrics are also alarmingly low, with an operating margin of -47.72% and a net margin of -127.71%. Furthermore, Applied Digital's (APLD, Financial) Return on Equity (ROE) stands at -125.66%, highlighting its inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. Over the past few years, the company has consistently recorded losses, further confirmed by the Piotroski F-Score of 2, indicative of poor business operations.

From a valuation perspective, the Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.91 is close to the stock's two-year low, casting a slight positive light on its current valuation. However, the stock's Enterprise Value (EV) of $1,707.94 million against its market capitalization of $853.72 million suggests that investors are paying a substantial premium relative to its earnings capabilities.

Overall, Applied Digital (APLD, Financial) faces numerous headwinds, including a high volatility beta of 5.08 and significant insider selling activity, with 20,000 shares being sold over the past three months and no insider purchases. These factors contribute to a general bearish sentiment around the stock. As the company considers strategic restructuring, such as focusing more on its data centers and possibly spinning off its cloud services segment, investors will be closely monitoring how management navigates these challenges to drive future growth and stability.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.