Why Moderna (MRNA) Stock is Dropping Today

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Apr 08, 2025
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Moderna Inc (MRNA, Financial) shares experienced a decline of 3.9% in its recent trading session, with the stock price falling to $24.64. This drop reflects broader market fluctuations and ongoing challenges facing the company post-pandemic.

In the first quarter of 2025, Moderna (MRNA, Financial) saw its shares plummet by 31.8%, echoing declines in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, which lost 4.6% and 10.4%, respectively. The company's financial performance has struggled significantly following the COVID-19 pandemic. Having reported $19.3 billion in sales during 2022, Moderna's revenue fell sharply to $3.2 billion by 2024. Recent earnings reports revealed more than a 50% year-over-year drop, missing investor expectations and prompting the company to cut its 2025 sales forecast to a range of $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion, down from the previous range of $2.5 billion to $3.5 billion. This indicates a diminished demand for its coronavirus and RSV vaccines.

In response to these challenges, Moderna is accelerating its cost-cutting measures, aiming to reduce expenses by $1 billion within the year. While necessary, these reductions could substantially impact its operations.

Further complicating matters, Peter Marks, a key figure in vaccine approvals at the FDA's Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, resigned due to external political pressures. His departure adds to the uncertainty surrounding Moderna's regulatory landscape.

From a stock analysis perspective, Moderna (MRNA, Financial) is currently facing severe financial challenges as evidenced by its Altman Z-score of 2.68, which falls in the grey area, indicating financial stress. The company's Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio is close to its 10-year low at 0.87, making it an enticing option for value investors. However, it is important to note that the company reported a negative trailing twelve months EPS of -9.28 and an EV/EBITDA ratio of -1.07, signaling ongoing profitability issues.

Moderna's market capitalization stands at approximately $9.53 billion. The GF Value assessment has categorized Moderna as fairly valued with a GF Value of $26.77. Interested readers can learn more through the GF Value page.

Investors should remain cautious given the company's financial position and strategic restructuring efforts while keeping an eye on broader market conditions that may influence stock performance.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.