BlackBerry (BB) Shares Plunge on Disappointing Revenue Outlook

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Apr 02, 2025
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Key Takeaways:

  • BlackBerry's revenue projections for fiscal 2026 and the current quarter are below analyst expectations.
  • Wall Street analysts set an average one-year price target of $4.54 for BlackBerry, indicating potential upside.
  • GuruFocus estimates suggest BlackBerry has a downside potential with a GF Value of $3.23.

BlackBerry Faces Revenue Challenges Amid Projections

BlackBerry (BB, Financial) stocks experienced a notable decline on Wednesday as the tech company's latest revenue forecasts fell short of market expectations. For fiscal year 2026, BlackBerry projects its revenue to range between $504 million and $534 million, a significant miss compared to analysts’ consensus of $567.3 million. Additionally, the company's expected revenue for the current quarter, estimated between $107 million and $115 million, also lags behind projections. Despite these challenges, BlackBerry managed to surpass expectations in its fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter revenue, achieving an adjusted EPS of 3 cents, even amidst a 7% year-over-year decline.

Wall Street Analysts Offer Mixed Projections

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The sentiment on BlackBerry's future performance is mixed among Wall Street analysts. Six analysts have offered one-year price targets, averaging at $4.54, with estimates varying significantly—a high of $7.00 and a low of $2.71. This average target indicates a potential upside of 32.80% from BlackBerry's current trading price of $3.42. For a detailed breakdown of these estimates, investors can visit the BlackBerry Ltd (BB, Financial) Forecast page.

The brokerage consensus for BlackBerry Ltd stands at a 3.0, reflecting a "Hold" recommendation. This rating, based on evaluations from six brokerage firms, uses a scale from 1 to 5, where 1 is a Strong Buy, and 5 is a Sell.

Evaluating BlackBerry's Fair Value with GuruFocus Metrics

According to GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for BlackBerry Ltd (BB, Financial) over the next year is $3.23. This suggests a potential downside of 5.42% from the current stock price of $3.415. The GF Value is a proprietary metric calculated based on historical trading multiples, past business growth, and projected future performance. This estimate provides investors with a benchmark to assess whether the stock may be overvalued or undervalued. For further insights and up-to-date data, visit the BlackBerry Ltd (BB) Summary page.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.