UPS Stock Dips Amid Sector Concerns and Price Target Cut

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Mar 25, 2025
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United Parcel Service (UPS, Financial) shares have experienced a decline of 5.05%, amidst a price forecast reduction amid broader challenges in the logistics sector. The price target for UPS was adjusted from $133 to $129 by Ken Hoexter of Bank of America's Securities unit, although Hoexter continues to recommend buying UPS shares.

This development comes alongside increasing concerns within the logistics industry related to its cyclical nature and upcoming tariffs that might affect package volumes for major players such as UPS and its competitor, FedEx. FedEx recently reported a revenue beat in its fiscal Q3 2025 report but missed earnings expectations and lowered its full-year guidance, which adds to the sector's challenges.

The current price of UPS stock is $109.95, with a notable market capitalization of $93.19 billion. The Price-Earnings (P/E) Ratio stands at 16.26, which is close to its 1-year low, suggesting potential value for investors. Additionally, the Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio is at 5.62, nearing a 10-year low, which could be appealing to value-focused investors.

United Parcel Service's GF Value indicates it is "Modestly Undervalued," with a GF Value of $155.38, which can be viewed on the GF Value page. The company's financial resilience is reflected by a strong Altman Z-score of 3.26, indicating solid financial strength.

However, investors should consider some risk factors, such as a high dividend payout ratio and a declining revenue per share over the past three years. Despite these concerns, UPS's dividend yield is close to a 10-year high, pointing to its attractiveness for income-focused investors.

Overall, while UPS faces sector-wide challenges and a recent decline in stock price, its valuation metrics suggest a potential opportunity for investors considering its long-term prospects and consistent revenue generation in the logistics industry.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.