Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Drops Amid Loss of Air Force Fighter Contract

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Mar 24, 2025
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Lockheed Martin's (LMT, Financial) stock has experienced a downward movement, currently trading at $430.15, which reflects a decrease of approximately 2.17%. This decline is attributed to the recent loss of a crucial Air Force contract for the next-generation fighter, a project awarded to Boeing.

The contract, worth $19 billion, with potential long-term revenues exceeding $250 billion, represents a significant shift from the historical pattern where Lockheed Martin, the dominant force in the defense sector, has previously secured major fighter projects like the F-22 Raptor and the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter.

The implications for Lockheed Martin (LMT, Financial) are considerable, with potential losses extending to other defense competitions. A salient example is Northrop Grumman's projected lead in a U.S. Navy fighter competition, which could further consolidate Lockheed's reliance on the F-35 production line. This strategic shift has prompted several investment banks to downgrade Lockheed Martin shares from a buy to a hold rating.

Despite the setbacks, Lockheed Martin (LMT, Financial) continues to hold significant long-term prospects, bolstered by its F-35 program and its involvement in helicopters, missiles, and electronics. The company's financial strength is underscored by a market capitalization of $101.25 billion and a GF Value rating of "Modestly Undervalued." The GF Value estimate stands at $533.56, suggesting potential for future growth. Interested investors can explore more about Lockheed Martin's valuation on its GF Value page.

The company's financial metrics reveal both opportunities and challenges. Lockheed Martin exhibits a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.32, and its Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is close to a three-year low at 1.57. While its gross and operating margins have shown a decline over the years, the firm's Altman Z-score remains strong at 3.46, indicating robust financial health.

Moreover, Lockheed Martin's dividend yield is nearing a three-year high, making it an attractive choice for income-focused investors. Despite recent insider selling activity, with 8,711 shares sold in the past three months, the company has a formidable institutional ownership of approximately 75%, reflecting confidence from major investors.

Ultimately, Lockheed Martin (LMT, Financial) faces a mixed outlook. While recent contract losses have created short-term headwinds, the firm maintains strong fundamentals and a diverse portfolio that supports its long-term growth trajectory.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.