Nike (NKE) Stock Drops Following Earnings Report

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Mar 21, 2025
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Shares of Nike (NKE, Financial) experienced a decline following the release of its fiscal 2025 third-quarter earnings report. The stock price fell, reflecting a 5.12% decrease, with the current trading price at $68.18. The disappointing results were primarily driven by a revenue drop and concerns over tariffs that may impede recovery efforts.

Nike's financial performance in the most recent quarter revealed a 9% revenue contraction to $11.3 billion, surpassing the market's expectations of $11.03 billion. However, challenges remain as Nike Direct revenue fell 12% to $4.7 billion, and wholesale revenue dipped 7% to $6.2 billion. The Converse brand struggled significantly, with sales declining by 18% to $405 million.

The company's gross margin suffered a reduction of 330 basis points, settling at 41.5%, primarily due to inventory markdowns. Although inventory levels decreased by 2% to $7.54 billion, this reduction was slower than the revenue decline, indicating a potential inventory overstock issue. Meanwhile, earnings per share dropped to $0.54, outperforming the consensus estimate of $0.28.

In terms of valuation, Nike Inc (NKE, Financial) is currently considered "Significantly Undervalued" according to the GF Value, which stands at $103.84. The company's Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 22.65, with a Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.2, indicating a valuation close to a five-year low. Moreover, Nike's dividend yield is near its 10-year high, which could appeal to income-focused investors.

Despite recent setbacks, Nike retains several strengths, such as a strong Altman Z-Score of 4.9 and a high Piotroski F-Score of 7, reflecting solid financial health. Insider buying also suggests confidence in the company's future prospects, with a recent transaction totaling 2,500 shares.

Looking ahead, Nike's guidance paints a cautious picture as the company plans to scale back on classic styles and digital advertising expenditure. It anticipates a mid-single-digit revenue decline and a gross margin contraction of 400 to 500 basis points in the upcoming quarter. While these strategic moves align with its recovery plan, investors appear frustrated by the continuous business contraction.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.