Why Eli Lilly (LLY) Stock Fell Today

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Mar 10, 2025
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Eli Lilly (LLY, Financial) experienced a notable stock decline of 4.58% in recent market activity. This outpaced the broader market's fall, spurred by Novo Nordisk's announcement of underwhelming clinical trial results for its obesity drug, CagriSema. This news has cast a shadow over the weight loss drug segment, increasing investor wariness toward companies like Eli Lilly.

With a current market price of $829.76, Eli Lilly (LLY, Financial) remains a focal point for investors assessing the stock's intrinsic value. According to the GF Value metric, Eli Lilly is deemed "Fairly Valued," with a GF Value of $848.20. This suggests a modest upside potential, aligning with the projected twelve-month GF Value estimate of $1,054.18.

Despite the recent dip, Eli Lilly showcases robust financial health, marked by a strong Altman Z-Score of 8.72. The company's expanding operating margin of 38.86% is a positive sign, indicating improved profitability. Additionally, Eli Lilly's revenue per share exhibits consistent growth, supported by impressive long-term revenue growth metrics – 31.9% over the past year and an average of 14.9% and 9.9% over the past five and ten years respectively. The company's commitment to innovation and an extensive product portfolio in neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology further solidifies its market position.

One area of concern remains the company's high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 70.86, which could imply an overvalued stock relative to earnings. However, Eli Lilly's predictability rank of 3.5 reflects strong cash flow predictability and stability, enhancing its investment appeal amidst market volatility.

Eli Lilly's strategic growth and consistent dividend policy, with a 5-year dividend growth rate of 15.1%, make it an attractive option for income-focused investors. Despite issuing new debt, Eli Lilly's financial prudence and market leadership in the pharmaceutical sector continue to make it a significant player worth monitoring, even amid short-term market fluctuations.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.