SIG Group AG (SCBGF) (Q4 2024) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Carton Revenue Growth and Strategic Innovations

SIG Group AG (SCBGF) reports robust carton revenue growth and strategic advancements despite challenges in specific segments and regions.

Author's Avatar
Feb 26, 2025
Summary
  • Revenue Growth: Approximately 4% for the year, 3.9% at constant currency and constant resin, and 4.3% at constant currency.
  • Carton Revenue Growth: 6% for the year.
  • Bag-in-Box and Spouted Pouch Revenue: Declined by 5% for the year at constant currency and constant resin.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Increased to EUR820 million from EUR803 million in 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 24.6%, slightly below last year.
  • Free Cash Flow: Increased over 30% to EUR290 million.
  • Net Leverage: Slightly reduced to 2.6 times.
  • Dividend Proposal: Increase to CHF0.49 per share, up from CHF0.48 in 2023.
  • Net Capital Expenditure: EUR82 million below prior year, 6.5% of revenue.
  • Q4 Revenue Growth: 5.1% at constant currency and constant resin.
  • Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: Increased to 26.2% from 24.8% in the prior year.
  • Europe Growth Rate: 6.2% for the year.
  • IMEA Sales Growth: Double-digit sales growth across the region.
  • Asia-Pacific Impact: Challenging market conditions in China, growth in Southeast Asia.
  • Filler Placements: 75 aseptic carton filling machines placed in 2024.
Article's Main Image

Release Date: February 25, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • SIG Group AG (SCBGF, Financial) reported a 6% growth in carton revenue for 2024, outperforming the market and gaining share across all geographies.
  • The company successfully placed 75 aseptic carton filling machines in 2024, maintaining strong performance in this segment.
  • SIG Group AG expanded its global manufacturing capabilities with new plants in China and India, enhancing local production and supply chain efficiency.
  • The company launched four key innovations in 2024, including aseptic spouted pouch filling machines and alu-free barrier aseptic packaging, strengthening its competitive edge.
  • SIG Group AG's sustainability efforts were recognized with inclusion in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index and an improved MSCI ESG rating of AAA.

Negative Points

  • Bag-in-box and spouted pouch revenue declined by 5% for the year, impacted by weak market conditions in North America and operational challenges in US facilities.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin slightly decreased to 24.6%, affected by higher production costs and SG&A expenses.
  • The company is facing legal action from Clean Holding regarding contingent consideration related to the acquisition of Scholle IPN.
  • China's market conditions remained challenging, with weak consumer sentiment affecting growth in the region.
  • Net leverage remains relatively high at 2.6 times, with a focus on reducing gross debt to improve financial stability.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you provide details on the arbitration process with Clean Holding regarding the contingent consideration?
A: Samuel Sigrist, CEO, explained that the arbitration follows the usual procedure, but it's difficult to predict the duration. The company disclosed the issue in financial statements and is addressing it step by step.

Q: Why not focus more on reducing gross debt given its high level and variable nature?
A: Ann-Kristin Erkens, CFO, stated that reducing gross debt is part of their strategy. They reduced debt by over EUR70 million last year, but leases offset this. The main driver for leverage reduction remains EBITDA expansion.

Q: Do you expect Scholle IPN's 2025 revenue growth to outpace the group guidance of 3% to 5%?
A: Ann-Kristin Erkens, CFO, indicated that they don't expect growth above the 6% range needed for the earn-out to kick in for 2025. There is no provision for contingent consideration in the books.

Q: How did China perform in Q4, and what are the expectations for early 2025?
A: Samuel Sigrist, CEO, noted that China remains a challenging market. Q4 benefited from early Chinese New Year preparations, but they await potential stimulus programs from the National Party Congress in March.

Q: What is the revenue potential for aseptic pouches in 2025, and how did the 75 fillers installed this year break down by geography?
A: Samuel Sigrist, CEO, stated that aseptic pouches have long-term growth potential. The 75 fillers were placed across geographies, with muted demand in China due to sufficient capacity.

Q: What gives you confidence in better growth in the second half of the year compared to the first half?
A: Samuel Sigrist, CEO, cited structural shifts, such as the ramp-up of fillers and normalized bases for bag-in-box and spouted pouch, as reasons for expected stronger H2 growth.

Q: Can you provide a breakdown of the expected price mix and volume for 2025?
A: Ann-Kristin Erkens, CFO, mentioned that growth will mainly come from volume, with a smaller positive contribution from pricing. Raw materials are expected to be a moderate headwind in 2025.

Q: What needs to happen to achieve the midterm guidance of 4% to 6% revenue growth?
A: Samuel Sigrist, CEO, explained that disposable incomes need to adjust to price levels for consumers to spend more, which would drive growth. They aim to compensate for market weakness with market share gains.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.