The Trade Desk (TTD) Stock Drops After Disappointing Earnings Report

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Feb 13, 2025

Shares of The Trade Desk (TTD, Financial) experienced a significant decline, falling by 33.04%. This drop was prompted by the company's fourth-quarter 2024 financial results which failed to meet market expectations. Both revenue and EBITDA targets were missed for the first time in 33 quarters, and the guidance for Q1 2025 also fell short of Wall Street forecasts.

The current stock price of The Trade Desk stands at $81.85. The company's market capitalization has been adjusted to approximately $40.4 billion, with a PE ratio of 104.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is deemed "Modestly Undervalued" according to GF Value, with a GF Value of 110.95. This suggests potential upside based on current valuation metrics.

TTD has shown robust financial strength, supported by a strong Altman Z-Score of 12.68, indicating a low probability of financial distress. The company's balance sheet health is further reinforced by a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 and a cash-to-debt ratio of 6.15. The Trade Desk's EBITDA margin is well-positioned at 21.05%, supported by consistent revenue growth rates: 25.2% over the last year and 29.5% over the last five years.

Despite operational challenges, including a 5-year decline in operating margin, The Trade Desk has demonstrated strong growth potential with an earnings growth rate of 359.8% over the past year. The company's robust free cash flow, with a TTM total of $632.39, underpins its capacity to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.

Investor sentiment may be affected by insider trading activity, with eight insider sell transactions and no insider buys recorded over the past three months. This activity reflects a degree of caution among company executives, which may contribute to the current stock volatility.

In summary, while The Trade Desk has faced recent financial setbacks, its strong balance sheet and growth metrics suggest resilience and potential for recovery. Investors should consider the company's long-term growth prospects in the context of its current valuation and industry positioning as they evaluate investment opportunities in TTD.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.