Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amid Margin Pressures

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) reports a 54% year-on-year revenue increase, driven by AI demand, while facing challenges in margin and cash flow.

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Feb 12, 2025
Summary
  • Revenue: Projected to range between $5.6 billion and $5.7 billion for Q2 fiscal 2025, a 54% year-on-year increase.
  • Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS): Estimated between $0.58 and $0.63, representing approximately a 5% year-on-year growth.
  • Non-GAAP Gross Margin: Approximately 11.9%.
  • Non-GAAP Operating Margin: Approximately 7.9%.
  • GAAP Net Income: Estimated between $315 million and $325 million.
  • Non-GAAP Net Income: Estimated between $375 million and $392 million.
  • Cash Used in Operations: Approximately $240 million.
  • Ending Cash Balance: Approximately $1.4 billion at the end of December.
  • Convertible Senior Notes: $700 million in new 2.25% convertible senior notes due 2028 issued.
  • Inventory: Approximately $3.6 billion, down from $4.9 billion last quarter.
  • CapEx: $28 million.
  • Cash Conversion Cycle: Increased to 104 days from 97 days in Q1.
  • Fiscal Year 2025 Revenue Guidance: Updated to a range of $23.5 billion to $25 billion.
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Release Date: February 11, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI, Financial) reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 54% for Q2 fiscal 2025, driven by strong AI demand.
  • The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with expectations of continued growth in new-generation platforms as supply ramps up.
  • Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) has announced a private placement of $700 million in convertible senior notes to support rapid business growth.
  • The company is expanding its manufacturing capacity in the US, Taiwan, and Europe to meet increasing demand, particularly for liquid-cooled data center solutions.
  • Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is a leader in liquid cooling technology, which is expected to be adopted by more than 30% of new data centers worldwide within the next 12 months.

Negative Points

  • The delay in filing the company's fiscal year 2024 10-K and 10-Qs has negatively impacted cash flow and market perception.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 11.9% from 13.1% last quarter, due to lower margins from product and customer mix.
  • The company has lowered its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance from a range of $26 billion to $30 billion to a new range of $23.5 billion to $25 billion.
  • Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is facing temporary margin pressure due to new product R&D investments and customer and product mix.
  • There are concerns about potential margin pressure through the Blackwell product cycle due to increased competition in the AI server market.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you discuss the $40 billion fiscal 2026 revenue outlook and what informs your confidence in achieving it?
A: Charles Liang, CEO, explained that the confidence stems from the continuous growth of their product line, including industry-standard and confidential products under development. He noted that their production capacity is underutilized, with significant room for growth in the USA, Taiwan, and Malaysia. The company expects at least a 65% growth, which they consider a conservative estimate.

Q: How should we think about gross margins through the Blackwell cycle, and is there a concern about margin pressure?
A: Charles Liang, CEO, acknowledged that mature products face price competition, but new products like Blackwell offer better margins. He emphasized the growing market share of liquid cooling, which provides a competitive edge. David Weigand, CFO, added that operating margins are above targets, translating into shareholder value.

Q: What impact do you expect from the transition to new NVIDIA products on your revenue targets?
A: Charles Liang, CEO, stated that they are well-prepared for the transition, with significant capacity for liquid cooling and a strong customer base ready to deploy in high volume. He expects strong growth once Blackwell is in volume production, similar to the growth experienced with previous NVIDIA product launches.

Q: How do you view the impact of new AI models like DeepSeek on your business, and what is your strategy for enterprise customers?
A: Charles Liang, CEO, believes that while software efficiency improves, the market size will not shrink. He highlighted their strong presence in the enterprise market, with a focus on service, management software, and end-to-end data center solutions to grow quickly in this segment.

Q: Can you elaborate on the data center building block architecture and its impact on your business?
A: Charles Liang, CEO, described it as a comprehensive solution for building data centers, offering key components like liquid cooling, cabling, and management tools. This approach aims to provide a one-stop shop for customers, reducing time to market and costs, and enhancing quality.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.