Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic Innovations

Despite a decline in global sales, Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) focuses on market share growth and operational efficiency to drive future success.

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Feb 06, 2025
Summary
  • Global Retail Sales Decline: 15% decline in Q4; 7% decline for the full year 2024.
  • North America Retail Sales Decline: 13% decline in Q4; 4% decline for the full year 2024.
  • International Retail Sales Decline: 17% decline in Q4; 13% decline for the full year 2024.
  • Consolidated Revenue: $5.2 billion for full year 2024, down 11% from 2023.
  • Consolidated Operating Income: $417 million for full year 2024, down 47% from 2023.
  • HDMC Revenue: $4.1 billion for full year 2024, down 15% from 2023.
  • HDFS Revenue Growth: 9% increase for full year 2024.
  • LiveWire Revenue Decline: 31% decrease for full year 2024.
  • Operating Cash Flow: Over $1 billion in 2024, nearly a 40% increase from prior year.
  • Dealer Inventory Reduction: 19% sequential decline at end of Q4 2024.
  • Operating Loss in Q4: $193 million consolidated operating loss.
  • Earnings Per Share: $3.44 for full year 2024, down from $4.97 in 2023.
  • Market Share in US Touring Segment: 74.5% in 2024, highest since 2019.
  • Cost Productivity Savings: $257 million achieved to date, with $100 million additional savings expected in 2025.
  • Share Repurchase: 12.5 million shares repurchased in 2024 at a total value of $450 million.
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Release Date: February 05, 2025

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG, Financial) achieved a nearly 5% growth in the US touring segment, increasing its market share to almost 75%.
  • The company successfully launched new model year '24 Street Glide and Road Glide touring motorcycles, receiving positive feedback from customers, media, and dealers.
  • Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) continued to trim inventory, ending the year slightly below '23 levels, setting up for further significant inventory reduction.
  • The company achieved $257 million in productivity savings, contributing positively to cash flow and delivering over $1 billion in operating cash flow in '24.
  • Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG) plans to continue investing in product development and capability management, with a focus on core product innovation and manufacturing automation.

Negative Points

  • Global retail sales declined by 15% in Q4, with North America down 13% and international regions down 17%.
  • Consolidated revenue in Q4 was down 35%, driven by a 47% decrease in HDMC revenue.
  • The company faced a significant operating loss of $214 million at HDMC in Q4, compared to a $44 million loss in the prior year.
  • LiveWire, Harley-Davidson's electric motorcycle segment, reported an operating loss of $110 million for the year.
  • High interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties negatively impacted consumer confidence and sales, particularly in core markets.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Can you elaborate on the expected inventory reduction in the first quarter and its impact on revenue?
A: Jonathan Root, CFO, explained that they anticipate a more than 30% reduction in inventory in the first half of the year, with a focus on managing dealer inventory levels. This will result in a decrease in wholesale shipments in the first half, with a more pronounced impact in the first quarter compared to the second half of the year.

Q: What were the main factors affecting margins in Q4, and how do you view retail sales for 2025?
A: Jonathan Root, CFO, noted that Q4 margins were impacted by lower volumes, unfavorable mix, and manufacturing costs. For 2025, they expect retail sales to be flat, with a stronger performance in the second half due to new product innovations and continued interest in the touring segment.

Q: How do you expect operating margins to improve in 2025 despite flat to slightly down revenue guidance?
A: Jonathan Root, CFO, indicated that they anticipate slight pricing improvements and better cost management, including lower operating expenses, which will help improve margins. They also expect less unfavorable impact from manufacturing costs compared to 2024.

Q: What is the outlook for international markets in 2025?
A: Jonathan Root, CFO, stated that they expect international markets to be relatively flat overall. While some regions like Asia Pacific may see slight growth, others, such as Europe, may face challenges due to macroeconomic conditions.

Q: How is Harley-Davidson managing the LiveWire business given the current demand for electric motorcycles?
A: Jochen Zeitz, CEO, mentioned that they are focused on reducing operating losses and cash burn for LiveWire. They are evaluating the business's performance and considering mid- to long-term strategies, including potential product portfolio adjustments, to improve profitability.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.