AMD Downgraded--Wolfe Slashes AI GPU Forecast, but MI350 Accelerator Sparks Hope

AMD sees a Wolfe Research downgrade as data center GPU growth lags, but its MI350 AI chip could be a game-changer.

Author's Avatar
Jan 16, 2025
Summary
  • AMD downgraded by Wolfe Research over weak data center GPU growth, but upcoming MI350 AI chip offers a future catalyst.
Article's Main Image

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, Financial) sees a downgrade from Wolfe Research, which warns of slower data center GPU revenue growth than expected. Shares tick up slightly in premarket trading.

Wolfe analyst Chris Caso lowers AMD's rating to Peer Perform from Outperform and removes his $210 price target. He cites original design manufacturer (ODM) build plans that point to modest quarterly growth in 2025. Wolfe now forecasts $1.5 billion to $2 billion in data center GPU revenue for Q4 2024, with $7 billion for 2025, well below prior estimates of $10.8 billion and buy-side expectations of $10 billion.

Caso also sees weak PC demand, gaming softness, and no embedded recovery in the first half of the year. Still, he highlights AMD's upcoming MI350 AI accelerator as a major catalyst, calling it a significant redesign over the MI325 as the new chip launches later this year.

Disclosures

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to buy any new positions in the stocks mentioned within the next 72 hours. Click for the complete disclosure