AMD Stock Declines Amid HSBC Downgrade

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Jan 08, 2025
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, Financial) shares experienced a decline of 4.63% today, closing at $121.44. This downward trend follows HSBC's notable downgrade of AMD's stock rating from 'buy' to 'reduce,' alongside a reduction of its one-year price target from $200 to $110. Concerns over AMD's competitive stance in the AI sector, particularly against Nvidia, have been cited as driving factors for this adjustment.

AMD faces a challenging competitive environment in the AI data center market, which is reflected in a lowered forecast for its new M1325 GPU demand. Analysts suggest that AMD may not launch a competitive AI rack server solution until late 2025 or early 2026, potentially affecting its financial results in the near term. According to HSBC, the revenue forecast for AMD's AI GPU has been adjusted from $12.3 billion to $8.1 billion.

As of now, AMD's market capitalization stands at approximately $197.07 billion, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 109.41. The company exhibits a strong Altman Z-score of 10.45, suggesting robust financial health. In terms of valuation, AMD is regarded as 'Fairly Valued' according to its GF Value of $127.72.

Despite the current downturn, AMD maintains a strong balance sheet and has shown healthy indicators such as a high Piotroski F-Score of 7, indicating a very favorable financial condition. However, the company's operating margin has been experiencing a decline over the past five years, averaging an annual decrease of 20.6%.

The semiconductor industry continues to be highly competitive, with players like Nvidia setting a high benchmark in the AI sector. For AMD, addressing these competitive challenges will be crucial in influencing its stock's future trajectory.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.