Infratil Ltd (ASX:IFT) Half Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Performance Amid Market Challenges

Infratil Ltd (ASX:IFT) reports robust growth in key sectors, despite facing development losses and external uncertainties.

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Nov 14, 2024
Summary
  • Proportionate EBITDAF: $506 million for the half, a 7% increase on a like-for-like basis compared to the previous period.
  • Proportionate Development EBITDAF: Loss of $28 million.
  • Proportionate CapEx: Increased by 50% to $1.2 billion.
  • Interim Dividend: $0.0725 per share, unimputed.
  • CDC EBITDAF: On track, with significant demand growth and customer negotiations.
  • One NZ EBITDAF: $304 million, a 9% increase from the prior period.
  • One NZ EBITDAF Margin: 32%, up from 30% in FY24.
  • One NZ Operating Free Cash Flows: $117 million, up $21 million from the comparable period.
  • Longroad Energy EBITDAF: Down compared to the same half last year due to previous high prices.
  • Diagnostic Imaging Earnings Growth: On track for double-digit growth despite cost pressures.
  • CapEx Guidance: Revised to $2.4 billion to $2.8 billion.
  • Debt Facilities and Liquidity: Improved financial flexibility following the June equity raise.
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Release Date: November 13, 2024

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

Positive Points

  • Infratil Ltd (ASX:IFT, Financial) reported a strong operating performance across its portfolio, despite challenging market conditions.
  • CDC Data Centres, the company's largest investment, continues to experience significant demand growth, leading to ongoing investment in construction and securing power and land for future projects.
  • One NZ performed well, aligning with guidance and making substantial progress on strategic priorities, contributing to a 9% increase in EBITDAF.
  • The merger of Manawa Energy and Contact Energy was announced at a significant premium, with expected strong benefits for both companies.
  • Infratil Ltd (ASX:IFT) completed a successful equity raise in June, enhancing balance sheet flexibility to support growth and shareholder value creation.

Negative Points

  • Uncertainty from the US election results poses a potential headwind for Longroad Energy, particularly concerning tariffs and green policies.
  • The investment in Console Connect was canceled, which was disappointing as the company remains positive about global next-generation connectivity platforms.
  • Proportionate development EBITDAF reported a loss of $28 million, highlighting challenges in development expenditure.
  • CDC Data Centres is trending towards the lower end of its guidance range due to shifts in project timelines.
  • The Commerce Commission charges against One NZ could pose legal and financial challenges, although the company intends to challenge the charges vigorously.

Q & A Highlights

Q: Regarding CDC, has the timeline for the 388 megawatts online by the end of FY26 changed, and does this affect the EBITDA outlook?
A: The timeline for the 388 megawatts remains unchanged, and we still expect strong EBITDA growth in FY26. Some workloads have shifted, but the overall completion timeline is intact.

Q: Can you clarify the potential impact on CDC's contracted EBITDA if the 300 megawatts are signed pre-Christmas?
A: There will be some modest reservation, but we expect the capacity to come online as planned. The EBITDA per megawatt might dip slightly below $2 million but should trend back up over time.

Q: Are there any participation rights for Infratil in the partial sale process for CDC if the price is high?
A: We do not have any participation rights in the sale process, but we are closely monitoring the situation.

Q: With the US election outcomes, is there a risk of delay in Longroad Energy's 9.5 gigawatts capacity target by 2027?
A: The 9.5 gigawatts target may be high given current yields. We are focusing on value creation per year, and while delays are possible, especially post-election, we are working to mitigate these risks.

Q: Regarding One NZ, is there potential for further efficiencies, and how does the company plan to handle competitive pricing pressures?
A: Yes, further efficiencies are possible, particularly through IT transformation. We do not intend to follow the market down on pricing, focusing instead on providing high-quality offerings and maintaining a long-term focus.

For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.