The stock of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC (NYSE:CCEP, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being modestly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $56.14 per share and the market cap of $25.7 billion, Coca-Cola European Partners PLC stock gives every indication of being modestly overvalued. GF Value for Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is shown in the chart below.
Because Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is relatively overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be lower than its business growth, which averaged 0.9% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 3.75% annually over the next three to five years.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Coca-Cola European Partners PLC has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.21, which which ranks worse than 76% of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. The overall financial strength of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is poor. This is the debt and cash of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Coca-Cola European Partners PLC has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $12.5 billion and earnings of $1.301 a share. Its operating margin of 7.67% in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Coca-Cola European Partners PLC's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is 0.9%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -2.1%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Non-Alcoholic.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, Coca-Cola European Partners PLC's return on invested capital is 3.37, and its cost of capital is 5.40. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC is shown below:
In short, the stock of Coca-Cola European Partners PLC (NYSE:CCEP, 30-year Financials) appears to be modestly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in the industry of Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. To learn more about Coca-Cola European Partners PLC stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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