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Precision Castparts (Precision Castparts) Altman Z-Score : 4.19 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Precision Castparts Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Precision Castparts has a Altman Z-Score of 4.19, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Precision Castparts Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Precision Castparts Altman Z-Score Chart

Precision Castparts Annual Data
Trend Mar06 Mar07 Mar08 Mar09 Mar10 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.58 9.34 4.19 5.06 4.05

Precision Castparts Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.57 4.65 4.05 3.77 4.13

Competitive Comparison of Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Precision Castparts Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Precision Castparts's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.205+1.4*0.6081+3.3*0.1156+0.6*3.7225+1.0*0.4786
=4.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2015:
Total Assets was $20,189 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,152 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,013 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $12,277 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 516 + 600 + 475 + 654 = $2,245 Mil.
Interest Expense was -33 + -20 + -18 + -17 = $-88 Mil.
Revenue was 2287 + 2412 + 2504 + 2459 = $9,662 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $32,326 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $8,684 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6152 - 2013)/20189
=0.205

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=12277/20189
=0.6081

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2245 - -88)/20189
=0.1156

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=32326.360/8684
=3.7225

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=9662/20189
=0.4786

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Precision Castparts has a Altman Z-Score of 4.19 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Precision Castparts  (NYSE:PCP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Precision Castparts Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Precision Castparts (Precision Castparts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Precision Castparts Corp was incorporated in the State of Oregon. The Company is a manufacturer of complex metal components and products provides high-quality investment castings, forgings and fasteners/fastener systems for critical aerospace and power applications. It also provides investment castings and forgings for general industrial, armament, medical and other applications; nickel alloys and mill forms, as well as cobalt alloys, for the aerospace, chemical processing, oil and gas, pollution control and other industries; seamless pipe for coal-fired, industrial gas turbine, and nuclear power plants, as well as oil and gas applications; fasteners for automotive and general industrial markets; specialty alloys for the investment casting industry; refiner plates, screen cylinders and other products for the pulp and paper industry; metal-injection-molded and ThixoFormedparts for automotive and other markets; grinder pumps and affiliated components for low pressure sewer systems; critical auxiliary equipment and gas monitoring systems for the power generation industry; and metalworking tools for the fastener market and other applications. It manufactures complex metal components and products in three main business segments: Investment Cast Products, Forged Products and Fastener Products. The Company's Investment Cast Products segment manufactures investment castings for aircraft engines, IGT engines, airframes, medical prostheses, armament, unmanned aerial vehicles and other industrial applications. The segment also provides alloys to PCC's investment casting operations, as well as to other investment casting companies. It manufactures forged components for the aerospace and power generation markets. Forged Products' aerospace and IGT sales are mainly derived from the same large engine customers served by the Investment Cast Products segment, with additional aerospace sales to manufacturers of landing gear and airframes. Therefore, the dynamics of the aerospace and IGT markets, as described in the Investment Cast Products section above, are virtually the same for Forged Products. It manufactures forged components for the aerospace and power generation markets. Forged Products' aerospace and IGT sales are mainly derived from the same large engine customers served by the Investment Cast Products segment, with additional aerospace sales to manufacturers of landing gear and airframes. Therefore, the dynamics of the aerospace and IGT markets, as described in the Investment Cast Products section above, are virtually the same for Forged Products. The Company's main competitors are Ladish Co., a subsidiary of Allegheny Technologies, Inc., Fortech, S.A. and Thyssen AG for aerospace turbine products, Alcoa Inc. and Firth Rixson Limited for aerospace structural products, Vallourec & Mannesmann Tubes and Sumitomo Corporation for energy products and Allegheny Technologies, Inc., Carpenter Technology Corporation, Haynes International, Inc., an
Executives
Ulrich Schmidt director PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP., 4650 SW MACADAM AVENUE, SUITE 400, PORTLAND OR 97239
Richard L Wambold director C/O PACTIV CORP, 1900 W FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Lester L Lyles director C/O MTC TECHNOLOGIES INC, 4032 LINDEN AVENUE, DAYTON OH 45432
Timothy A Wicks director C/O PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP., 4650 SW MACADAM AVENUE, SUITE 400, PORTLAND OR 97239
Andrew Masterman officer: EVP, Pres. Wyman-Gordon 401 PLYMOUTH ROAD, SUITE 500, PLYMOUTH MEETING PA 19462-1646
Kevin M Stein officer: Exec VP TRANSDIGM GROUP INCORPORATED, 1301 EAST 9TH STREET, SUITE 3000, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Steven G Rothmeier director C/O E.W BLANCH HOLDINGS INC, 500 N. AKARD #4500, DALLAS TX 75201
Russell S Pattee officer: VP and Corporate Controller PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP., 4650 SW MACADAM AVENUE, SUITE 400, PORTLAND OR 97239
Chris Ayers officer: Exec. VP, Pres. PCC Forgings 4650 S.W. MACADAM, SUITE #440, PORTLAND OR 97239
William D Larsson officer: Sr. VP and CFO 35 SHARPS CIRCLE, RENO NV 89519
Byron O Pond director C/O GSI GROUP INC., 125 MIDDLESEX TURNPIKE, BEDFORD MA 01730-1409
Wayne F Robbins officer: President; PCC Flow Technologi 4650 SW MACADAM, STE 440, PORTLAND OR 97239

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