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International Business Machines (International Business Machines) Altman Z-Score

: 3.15 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.16 is strong.

International Business Machines has a Altman Z-Score of 3.15, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IBM' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.37   Med: 3.25   Max: 3.96
Current: 3.16

During the past 13 years, International Business Machines's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.96. The lowest was 2.37. And the median was 3.25.


International Business Machines Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

International Business Machines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.59 2.37 2.82 2.89 3.06

International Business Machines Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.89 2.77 2.80 3.04 3.06

Competitive Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


International Business Machines Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score falls into.



International Business Machines Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

International Business Machines's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.009+1.4*1.1186+3.3*0.0761+0.6*1.4751+1.0*0.4574
=3.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $135,241 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $32,908 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $34,122 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $151,276 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 3759 + 1873 + 2000 + 1058 = $8,690 Mil.
Interest Expense was -405 + -412 + -423 + -367 = $-1,607 Mil.
Revenue was 17380 + 14752 + 15475 + 14252 = $61,859 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $166,142 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $112,628 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(32908 - 34122)/135241
=-0.009

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=151276/135241
=1.1186

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(8690 - -1607)/135241
=0.0761

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=166141.669/112628
=1.4751

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=61859/135241
=0.4574

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

International Business Machines has a Altman Z-Score of 3.15 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


International Business Machines  (NYSE:IBM) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


International Business Machines Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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International Business Machines (International Business Machines) Business Description

Address
One New Orchard Road, Armonk, NY, USA, 10504
IBM looks to be a part of every aspect of an enterprise's IT needs. The company primarily sells software, IT services, consulting, and hardware. IBM operates in 175 countries and employs approximately 350,000 people. The company has a robust roster of 80,000 business partners to service 5,200 clients—which includes 95% of all Fortune 500. While IBM is a B2B company, IBM's outward impact is substantial. For example, IBM manages 90% of all credit card transactions globally and is responsible for 50% of all wireless connections in the world.
Executives
Michael Miebach director 2000 PURCHASE STREET, PURCHASE NY 10577
James J Kavanaugh officer: Vice President and Controller IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
Nicolas A. Fehring officer: VP, Controller ONE NEW ORCHARD ROAD, ARMONK NY 10504
Del Bene Robert F officer: VP, Controller IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
David N Farr director
Michelle J Howard director C/O SECRETARY'S OFFICE, IBM CORPORATION, ARMONK NY 10504
Alfred W Zollar director C/O LOTUS SOFTWARE, ONE ROGER STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Gary D Cohn officer: Vice Chairman 812 PARK AVENUE, 7-8A, NEW YORK NY 10021
Nickle Jaclyn Lamoreaux officer: Senior Vice President IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
James M Whitehurst officer: President IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
Alex Gorsky director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Andrew N Liveris director 2211 H.H. DOW WAY, MIDLAND MI 48674
Joseph Swedish director WELLPOINT, INC., 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Frederick H Waddell director 50 S. LA SALLE ST., CHICAGO IL 60675
Mcnabb Frederick William Iii director C/O UNITEDHEALTH GROUP, 9900 BREN ROAD EAST, MN008-T502, MINNETONKA MN 55343