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Dillard's (Dillard's) Altman Z-Score

: 8.12 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 8.08 is strong.

Dillard's has a Altman Z-Score of 8.12, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dillard's's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

DDS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.19   Med: 4.78   Max: 8.39
Current: 8.08

During the past 13 years, Dillard's's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.39. The lowest was 4.19. And the median was 4.78.


Dillard's Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dillard's's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dillard's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.69 4.39 7.31 8.39 8.00

Dillard's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.39 6.87 7.67 6.70 8.00

Competitive Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Dillard's's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dillard's Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dillard's's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dillard's's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Dillard's Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Dillard's's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4003+1.4*1.7537+3.3*0.2777+0.6*3.7839+1.0*1.9932
=8.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $3,449 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,208 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $828 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $6,048 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 282.532 + 199.379 + 171.591 + 263.115 = $917 Mil.
Interest Expense was -40.64 + 0 + -0.275 + -0.228 = $-41 Mil.
Revenue was 2158.861 + 1504.234 + 1597.418 + 1613.907 = $6,874 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $6,629 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,752 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2208.21 - 827.756)/3448.906
=0.4003

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6048.288/3448.906
=1.7537

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(916.617 - -41.143)/3448.906
=0.2777

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6628.851/1751.838
=3.7839

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6874.42/3448.906
=1.9932

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Dillard's has a Altman Z-Score of 8.12 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Dillard's  (NYSE:DDS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Dillard's Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dillard's's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dillard's (Dillard's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1600 Cantrell Road, Little Rock, AR, USA, 72201
Dillard's Inc is an American fashion apparel, cosmetics, and home furnishings retailer. Its stores offer a large variety of merchandise and feature products from both national and exclusive brand sources. The company also operates a general contracting construction company, CDI Contractors. CDI Contractors' business includes constructing and remodelling stores for Dillards. The merchandise selections include exclusive brand merchandise such as Antonio Melani, Gianni Bini, Daniel Cremieux, Roundtree & Yorke, and private-label merchandise, among others. The company operates in two business segments; Retail Operations and Construction. The Retail Operations segment generates maximum revenue for the company.
Executives
Watts J C Jr director
Tom W Bolin officer: Vice President 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Chris B. Johnson officer: Principal Vice President 1600 CANTRELL RD., LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Tony J Bolte officer: Vice President 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Mike Litchford officer: Vice President 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Connor William E Ii director 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Reynie Rutledge director 1600 CANTRLL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Warren A Stephens director 111 CENTER STREET, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Dean L. Worley officer: VP/General Counsel & Secretary 1600 CANTRELL RD., LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Jame I Freeman director, officer: Senior Vice President and CFO 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Rob C Holmes director 2000 MCKINNEY AVE, STE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Dillard William T. Iii officer: Vice President 1600 CANTRELL RD., LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Drue Corbusier director, officer: Executive Vice President 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Hastings H. Lee Iii director 1600 CANTRELL ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Robert C Connor director

Dillard's (Dillard's) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Dillard's, Inc. to Report Second Quarter and 26-Week Results

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Director WATTS J C JR Sells 1,000 Shares of Dillard's Inc

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Dillard's, Inc. Announces $0.25 Cash Dividend

By Business Wire 08-17-2023

Dillard's Launches The Nat Note for Antonio Melani

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By Rupert Hargreaves 08-23-2022

Dillard's, Inc. Announces $0.20 Cash Dividend

By Business Wire Business Wire 08-18-2022

Dillard's Launches Jennifer Sumko for Antonio Melani

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Is Dillard's Special Dividend a Value Signal?

By Robert Abbott 12-08-2022