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Clearwater Paper (Clearwater Paper) Altman Z-Score

: 2.76 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.76 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Clearwater Paper has a Altman Z-Score of 2.76, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Clearwater Paper is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CLW' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.33   Med: 2.25   Max: 2.76
Current: 2.76

During the past 13 years, Clearwater Paper's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.76. The lowest was 1.33. And the median was 2.25.


Clearwater Paper Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Clearwater Paper Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.63 2.18 1.96 2.43 2.72

Clearwater Paper Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.43 2.50 2.54 2.60 2.72

Competitive Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clearwater Paper Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Clearwater Paper Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Clearwater Paper's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1663+1.4*0.4094+3.3*0.1049+0.6*0.6633+1.0*1.2458
=2.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,672 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $286 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $685 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 24.4 + 47.6 + 39.9 + 32.3 = $144 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.5 + -7.4 + -7.6 + -7.6 = $-31 Mil.
Revenue was 512.9 + 519.9 + 524.6 + 525.4 = $2,083 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $665 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,003 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(564.1 - 286)/1671.8
=0.1663

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=684.5/1671.8
=0.4094

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(144.2 - -31.1)/1671.8
=0.1049

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=665.323/1003.1
=0.6633

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2082.8/1671.8
=1.2458

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Clearwater Paper has a Altman Z-Score of 2.76 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Clearwater Paper  (NYSE:CLW) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Clearwater Paper Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Clearwater Paper (Clearwater Paper) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 West Riverside, Suite 1100, Spokane, WA, USA, 99201
Clearwater Paper Corp is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of private label tissue, paperboard, and pulp-based products. The company has two reportable segments namely the consumer products segment which manufactures and sells a complete line of at-home tissue products as well as AFH products. The pulp and paperboard segment manufactures and markets bleached paperboard for the high-end segment of the packaging industry as well as offers services that include custom sheeting, slitting and cutting of paperboard. It generates maximum revenue from Pulp and Paperboard segment. Geographically, it derives maximum revenue from the United States.
Executives
Sherri Baker officer: SVP, CFO 1070 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, NORTH VENICE FL 34275
Michael S Gadd officer: Vice President 601 W FIRST AVE., SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
Rebecca Anne Barckley officer: VP, Controller 414 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Michael John Murphy officer: Sr. VP, Finance and CFO KAPSTONE PAPER AND PACKAGING CORPORATION, 1101 SKOKIE BLVD., STE. 300, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Kari G. Moyes officer: SVP, HR 601 WEST RIVERSIDE AVENUE, SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Steve M Bowden officer: Senior Vice President 601 WEST RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Jeanne M Hillman director C/O WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY, 220 OCCIDENTAL AVENUE SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98104
Michael J Urlick officer: Sr. VP, GM, CPD 601 W. RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Vickers Tucker Christine M. director 601 W RIVERSIDE AVE. SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Ann C Nelson director 601 W. RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Joanne P. Shufelt officer: SVP, GM, CPD 601 W. RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201
Linda K Massman officer: Vice President 601 W. FIRST AVE, SUITE 1600, SPOKANE WA 99201
John J Corkrean director 370 WABASHA STREET NORTH, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Robert G. Hrivnak officer: Sr. VP, Finance and CFO C/O ORION ENGINEERED CARBONS S.A., 4501 MAGNOLIA COVE DRIVE, SUITE 106, HOUSTON TX 77345
Arsen S. Kitch officer: Vice President 601 WEST RIVERSIDE AVE., SUITE 1100, SPOKANE WA 99201