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A.O. Smith (A.O. Smith) Altman Z-Score

: 9.18 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 9.18 is strong.

A.O. Smith has a Altman Z-Score of 9.18, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AOS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.96   Med: 6.17   Max: 9.18
Current: 9.18

During the past 13 years, A.O. Smith's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.18. The lowest was 4.96. And the median was 6.17.


A.O. Smith Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

A.O. Smith Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.19 6.83 7.92 6.10 8.92

A.O. Smith Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.10 6.94 7.89 7.70 8.92

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


A.O. Smith Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score falls into.



A.O. Smith Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

A.O. Smith's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1727+1.4*1.0138+3.3*0.232+0.6*9.3092+1.0*1.1988
=9.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,214 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,500 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $945 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $3,258 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 176.9 + 176.4 + 208.9 + 171.3 = $734 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.1 + -2.4 + -4.5 + -4 = $-12 Mil.
Revenue was 988.1 + 937.5 + 960.8 + 966.4 = $3,853 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $12,749 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,370 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1500.3 - 945.3)/3213.9
=0.1727

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3258.1/3213.9
=1.0138

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(733.5 - -12)/3213.9
=0.232

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12748.897/1369.5
=9.3092

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3852.8/3213.9
=1.1988

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

A.O. Smith has a Altman Z-Score of 9.18 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


A.O. Smith  (NYSE:AOS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


A.O. Smith Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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A.O. Smith (A.O. Smith) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11270 West Park Place, P. O. Box 245008, Suite 170, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53224-9508
A.O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets comprehensive lines of residential and commercial gas, gas tankless, and electric water heaters. Supplementary products include water heating equipment, condensing and noncondensing boilers, and water system tanks. The company's two operating segments are by geographic region: North America (majority of total revenue) and the Rest of the World. A material portion of sales in North America derive from replacing existing products, and the company utilizes a wholesale distribution channel and multiple selling locations. The Rest of the World segment sells majorly in Asian countries and operates sales offices to expand distribution and market its product portfolio.
Executives
Mark D Smith director
Idelle K Wolf director
Robert J Heideman officer: Senior Vice President Corp Tec A. O. SMITH CORPORATE TECHNOLOGY CENTER, 12100 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Mark A Petrarca officer: Vice President - H.R. & P.A. A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
James F Stern officer: Exec VP, General Counsel & Sec A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Ajita G Rajendra officer: President, A. O. Smith Water P A. O. SMITH WATER PRODUCTS COMPANY, 500 LINDAHL PARKWAY, ASHLAND CITY TN 37015
Kevin J. Wheeler officer: Senior VP and President & GM A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 500 TENNESSEE WALTZ PARKWAY, ASHLAND CITY TN 37015
Benjamin A Otchere officer: Vice President and Controller A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Michael M Larsen director ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC., 155 HARLEM AVE., GLENVIEW IL 60025
Daniel L Kempken officer: Vice President and Controller A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Samuel M. Carver officer: SVP - Global Operations A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 44 VANTAGE WAY, NASHVILLE TN 37228
Ronald D Brown director 2090 FLORENCE AVENUE, CINCINNATI OH 45206
Parag Kulkarni officer: SVP - Int'l; President India A. O. SMITH INDIA WATER PRODUCTS PRIVATE, #300, PHASE II, KIADB INDUSTRIAL AREA, KARNATAKA K7 562112
Earl E. Exum director A. O. SMITH CORPORATION, 11270 WEST PARK PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53224
Stephen D. O'brien officer: SVP; President, Lochinvar, LLC LOCHINVAR, LLC, 300 MADDOX SIMPSON PARKWAY, LEBANON TN 37090

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