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Old Dominion Freight Line (Old Dominion Freight Line) Altman Z-Score

: 26.02 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 25.22 is strong.

Old Dominion Freight Line has a Altman Z-Score of 26.02, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ODFL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.62   Med: 11.89   Max: 25.22
Current: 25.22

During the past 13 years, Old Dominion Freight Line's highest Altman Z-Score was 25.22. The lowest was 6.62. And the median was 11.89.


Old Dominion Freight Line Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Old Dominion Freight Line Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.78 15.97 24.95 19.46 24.32

Old Dominion Freight Line Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.46 22.08 24.54 24.92 24.32

Competitive Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Old Dominion Freight Line Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Old Dominion Freight Line Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Old Dominion Freight Line's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1086+1.4*0.7264+3.3*0.299+0.6*38.0328+1.0*1.0642
=26.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $5,512 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,143 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $545 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $4,004 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 425.325 + 446.376 + 391.926 + 384.149 = $1,648 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.085 + -0.09 + -0.089 + -0.2 = $-0 Mil.
Revenue was 1495.55 + 1515.277 + 1413.189 + 1442.136 = $5,866 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $47,715 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,255 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1143.333 - 544.658)/5512.393
=0.1086

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4003.956/5512.393
=0.7264

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1647.776 - -0.464)/5512.393
=0.299

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=47715.328/1254.582
=38.0328

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5866.152/5512.393
=1.0642

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Old Dominion Freight Line has a Altman Z-Score of 26.02 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Old Dominion Freight Line  (NAS:ODFL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Old Dominion Freight Line Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Old Dominion Freight Line (Old Dominion Freight Line) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Old Dominion Way, Thomasville, NC, USA, 27360
Old Dominion Freight Line is the second-largest less than truckload carrier in the United States, with more than 250 service centers and 11,000-plus tractors. It is one of the most disciplined and efficient providers in the trucking industry, and its profitability and capital returns stand head and shoulders above its peers. Strategic initiatives revolve around increasing network density through market share gains and maintaining industry-leading service via steadfast infrastructure investment.
Executives
David S Congdon director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and COO C/O OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC., 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Stith Thomas A. Iii director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Steven W. Hartsell officer: SVP - Sales 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Andrew Stephen Davis director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Christopher James Kelley officer: SVP - Operations 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Bradley R Gabosch director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
David J. Bates officer: SVP - Operations C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Leo H Suggs director UNION PACIFIC CORP, 1416 DODGE ST, OMAHA NE 68179
D. Michael Wray director 7205 PINETREE ROAD, RICHMOND VA 23229
Gregory B Plemmons officer: SVP - Sales 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Wendy T. Stallings director 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Earl E Congdon director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO C/O OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE, INC., 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Sherry A Aaholm director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Christopher T Brooks officer: SVP - Human Resources & Safety 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360
Kimberly S Maready officer: VP - Accounting & Fin. (PAO) 500 OLD DOMINION WAY, THOMASVILLE NC 27360