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Cogent Communications Holdings (Cogent Communications Holdings) Altman Z-Score : 2.45 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Cogent Communications Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.44 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Cogent Communications Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.45, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Cogent Communications Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CCOI' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.75   Max: 2.57
Current: 2.44

During the past 13 years, Cogent Communications Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.57. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.75.


Cogent Communications Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cogent Communications Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Cogent Communications Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.07 1.43 1.68 0.78 2.57

Cogent Communications Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.78 0.84 2.32 2.30 2.57

Competitive Comparison of Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Cogent Communications Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Cogent Communications Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0437+1.4*0.0053+3.3*0.413+0.6*1.2242+1.0*0.293
=2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,211.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $513.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $373.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $17.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 179.788 + -70.346 + 1099.532 + 10.652 = $1,219.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was -34.928 + -24.198 + -28.653 + -19.005 = $-106.8 Mil.
Revenue was 272.1 + 275.429 + 239.806 + 153.588 = $940.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,185.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,602.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(513.627 - 373.324)/3211.619
=0.0437

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=17.137/3211.619
=0.0053

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1219.626 - -106.784)/3211.619
=0.413

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3185.517/2602.063
=1.2242

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=940.923/3211.619
=0.293

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Cogent Communications Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.45 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Cogent Communications Holdings  (NAS:CCOI) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Cogent Communications Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Cogent Communications Holdings (Cogent Communications Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2450 N Street North West, Washington, DC, USA, 20037
Cogent carries over one fifth of the world's internet traffic over its network and is a broadband provider for businesses. Cogent's corporate customers are in high-rise office buildings; the firm provides them with two types of connections: dedicated internet access, which connects them to the internet, and virtual private networking, which offers an internal network for employees in different locations. Cogent's corporate customers are exclusively in North America and account for over half of the firm's revenue. Cogent's netcentric customers include internet service providers and content providers, to which Cogent provides internet transit. They hand traffic to Cogent in data centers and rely on Cogent to deliver it. About half of netcentric revenue is from outside the U.S.
Executives
John B. Chang officer: VP & CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER 2450 N ST NW, 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Dave Schaeffer director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President & CEO C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N ST NW, 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Henry W Kilmer officer: VP of IP Engineering C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N ST NW, 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20037
James Bubeck officer: Chief Revenue Officer 2450 N STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Thaddeus Gerard Weed officer: VP, Controller COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N ST NW, 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Lewis H Ferguson director 8717 BURDETTE ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Sheryl Lynn Kennedy director C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037
Blake Bath director 1010 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 600, WASHINGTON DC 20007
Marc Montagner other: director nominee C/O ENDURANCE INT'L GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 10 CORPORATE DRIVE, SUITE 300, BURLINGTON MA 01803
David Allen Kapp officer: VP & CHIEF TECHNICAL OFFICER C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037
Jeffrey S Danielson officer: VP Infrastructure C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037
Steven D Brooks director C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N ST NW, 4TH FLOOR, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Greg W O'connor officer: VP, CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037
Eve N Howard director C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037
Sa Paul De director C/O COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC., 2450 N STREET, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20037