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The Timken Co (The Timken Co) Altman Z2-Score : 3.64 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is The Timken Co Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

The Timken Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.64, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TKR' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.64   Med: 4.25   Max: 5.52
Current: 3.64

During the past 13 years, The Timken Co's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.52. The lowest was 3.64. And the median was 4.25.


The Timken Co Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Timken Co Altman Z2-Score Chart

The Timken Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.24 3.79 4.25 4.21 3.64

The Timken Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.21 4.44 4.35 3.77 3.64

Competitive Comparison of The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



The Timken Co Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1779+3.26*0.3412+6.72*0.098+1.05*0.6726
=3.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $6,542 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,635 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,471 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,232 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 61.5 + 124.2 + 176.6 + 168.2 = $531 Mil.
Interest Expense was -30.8 + -27.5 + -28.3 + -24.1 = $-111 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,839 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2634.9 - 1471.3)/6541.7
=0.1779

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2232.2/6541.7
=0.3412

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(530.5 - -110.7)/6541.7
=0.098

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2582.4 - 0)/3839.3
=0.6726

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

The Timken Co has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.64 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


The Timken Co  (NYSE:TKR) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Timken Co Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Timken Co's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Timken Co (The Timken Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4500 Mount Pleasant Street North West, North Canton, OH, USA, 44720-5450
The Timken Company is a manufacturer of bearings, gear belts, and chain-related products. The company sells its portfolio of bearings, including tapered, spherical and cylindrical roller bearings, and thrust and ball bearings, through a network of authorised dealers to end users or directly to original equipment manufacturers. End-market sectors include general industrial, automotive, rail, energy, heavy truck, defense, agriculture, metals, mining, civil aerospace, construction, pulp and paper, and cement industries. Its segments are Mobile Industries and Process industries. Timken generates its revenue in the United States of America.
Executives
Philip D. Fracassa officer: CFO 1835 DUEBER AVENUE SW, CANTON OH 44706-0928
Christopher A Coughlin officer: President-proc ind & supp chn 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706
Timken John M Jr director 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702
Hansal N. Patel officer: VP, GC, and Secretary 4500 MOUNT PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Richard G Kyle officer: President-mob ind & aerospace 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706
Jacqueline F Woods director
Natasha Pollock officer: VP - Human Resources 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Landin Bo Hans Olof officer: Group Vice President 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Timken Ward J Jr director, officer: Chairman of the Board 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702
Ronald J Myers officer: VP - Human Resources 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Sarah C Lauber director 833 EAST MICHIGAN STREET, SUITE 900, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Shelly Marie Chadwick officer: Chief Accounting Officer 6070 PARKLAND BLVD, MAYFIELD HTS. OH 44124
Karl Andreas Roellgen officer: VP - Europe, Asia and Africa 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Frank C Sullivan director
Elizabeth Ann Harrell director 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720