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Marriott International (Marriott International) Altman Z2-Score : 1.75 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Marriott International Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Marriott International has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.75, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Marriott International is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MAR' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 1.18   Max: 1.8
Current: 1.75

During the past 13 years, Marriott International's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.80. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 1.18.


Marriott International Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marriott International Altman Z2-Score Chart

Marriott International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 0.45 1.08 1.53 1.75

Marriott International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.53 1.79 1.77 1.88 1.75

Competitive Comparison of Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score

For the Lodging subindustry, Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Marriott International Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1734+3.26*0.5779+6.72*0.1536+1.05*-0.0259
=1.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $25,674 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,311 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,762 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $14,838 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 581 + 989 + 964 + 844 = $3,378 Mil.
Interest Expense was -153 + -146 + -141 + -126 = $-566 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $26,356 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3311 - 7762)/25674
=-0.1734

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=14838/25674
=0.5779

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3378 - -566)/25674
=0.1536

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-682 - 0)/26356
=-0.0259

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Marriott International has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.75 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Marriott International  (NAS:MAR) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Marriott International Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marriott International's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marriott International (Marriott International) Business Description

Address
7750 Wisconsin Avenue, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814
Marriott operates 1.6 million rooms across roughly 30 brands. At the end of 2022, luxury represented roughly 10% of total rooms, while full service and limited service were about 40% and 50%, respectively. Marriott, Courtyard, and Sheraton are the largest brands, while Autograph, Tribute, Moxy, Aloft, and Element are newer lifestyle brands. Managed and franchised represent 99% of total rooms as of Sept. 30, 2023. North America makes up two thirds of total rooms. Managed, franchise, and incentive fees represent the vast majority of revenue and profitability for the company.
Executives
Anthony Capuano officer: EVP - Lodging Development 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Felitia Lee officer: Controller and CAO 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Rajeev Menon officer: President, APEC 7750 WISCONSIN AVE, BETHESDA MD 20814-3522
Deborah Marriott Harrison other: 13D group owning more than 10% 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Kathleen K. Oberg officer: CFO 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Juliana B. Marriott other: 13D Group owning more than 10% 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Juliana B. Marriott Marital Trust other: Member of a 10% Group 6106 MACARTHER BOULEVARD, SUITE 110, BETHESDA MD 20816
David S Marriott other: 13D group owning more than 10% 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Peggy Fang Roe officer: EVP & Chf. Customer Officer 100 COMMERCE LANE, APT. 1401, BETHESDA MD 20814
Rena Hozore Reiss officer: EVP & General Counsel 71 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 12TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60606
Drew Pinto officer: EVP, Chf. Rev & Technology 7750 WISCONSIN AVE, BETHESDA MD 20814-3522
William P Brown officer: Pres. & Managing Dir., Europe 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Benjamin T. Breland officer: EVP & Chief HR Officer 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Eric Hippeau director STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Grant Reid director 7750 WISCONSIN AVE, BETHESDA MD 20814-3522