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Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Altman Z2-Score : 1.83 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Harley-Davidson Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Harley-Davidson has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.83, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Harley-Davidson is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HOG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.55   Med: 2.08   Max: 5.34
Current: 2.68

During the past 13 years, Harley-Davidson's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.34. The lowest was 1.55. And the median was 2.08.


Harley-Davidson Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson Altman Z2-Score Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.90 1.55 2.09 2.32 2.68

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.91 3.13 3.13 2.68 -

Competitive Comparison of Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Harley-Davidson Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1536+3.26*0+6.72*0.0645+1.05*0.3707
=1.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $12,335 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,386 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,491 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 290.368 + 4.568 + 238.279 + 232.019 = $765 Mil.
Interest Expense was -7.679 + -7.683 + -7.688 + -7.696 = $-31 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $8,999 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(5385.905 - 3491.324)/12334.92
=0.1536

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/12334.92
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(765.234 - -30.746)/12334.92
=0.0645

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(3336.086 - 0)/8998.834
=0.3707

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Harley-Davidson has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.83 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Harley-Davidson  (NYSE:HOG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Harley-Davidson Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.
Executives
Charles Do officer: Sr. Vice President, HDFSI 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Rafeh Masood director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 25 RESEARCH DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
Sara L Levinson director RODALE INC, 733 3RD AVE 15TH FL, MILWAUKEE WI 10017
Allan C. Golston director 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD., KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Farley Jr James D director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Maryrose Sylvester director C/O 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
R John Anderson director LEVI STRAUSS & CO., 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Norman Thomas Linebarger director
Troy Alstead director 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
David Viney officer: Interim CFO, VP and Treasurer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
O'sullivan Coyne Edel M. officer: Chief Commercial Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jonathan R Root officer: SVP - HDFSI 3700 W JUNEAU, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jagdish Krishnan officer: Chief Digital Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Tori Termaat officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Gina M Goetter officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HASBRO, INC., 1027 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861