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Flowers Foods (Flowers Foods) Altman Z2-Score : 2.01 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Flowers Foods Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Flowers Foods has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.01, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Flowers Foods is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FLO' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.01   Med: 2.81   Max: 3.23
Current: 2.01

During the past 13 years, Flowers Foods's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.23. The lowest was 2.01. And the median was 2.81.


Flowers Foods Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Flowers Foods Altman Z2-Score Chart

Flowers Foods Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.25 2.80 2.85 2.94 2.01

Flowers Foods Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.94 2.64 2.71 2.09 2.01

Competitive Comparison of Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Flowers Foods Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0083+3.26*0.2721+6.72*0.0565+1.05*0.6514
=2.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,427 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $688 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $659 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $932 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 46.074 + -63.297 + 84.365 + 89.965 = $157 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.211 + -8.552 + -9.009 + -10.837 = $-37 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,075 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(687.713 - 659.152)/3426.953
=0.0083

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=932.472/3426.953
=0.2721

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(157.107 - -36.609)/3426.953
=0.0565

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1351.782 - 0)/2075.171
=0.6514

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Flowers Foods has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.01 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Flowers Foods  (NYSE:FLO) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Flowers Foods Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Flowers Foods's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Flowers Foods (Flowers Foods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1919 Flowers Circle, Thomasville, GA, USA, 31757
Flowers Foods Inc is an American company producing bakery food for retail and foodservice across the United States. The product portfolio includes fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack cakes, and tortillas. The company distributes to supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants. The key brands are Nature's Own, Whitewheat, Cobblestone Bread, Wonder, Dave's Killer Bread, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake.
Executives
R Steve Kinsey officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 301 HABERSHAM ROAD, THOMASVILLE GA 31792
Stephanie B Tillman officer: Chief Legal Counsel 1919 FLOWERS CIRCLE, THOMASVILLE GA 31757
Ryals Mcmullian officer: Chief Strategy Officer 2922 IVANHOE ROAD, TALLAHASSEE FL 32312
Brigitte King director 1919 FLOWERS CIRCLE, THOMASVILLE GA 31757
Joanne D Smith director C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC., P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981, ATLANTA GA 30320
H Mark Courtney officer: SVP Sales&Mkt Flowers Bakeries 16 MEANDER TRACE, THOMASVILLE GA 31792
Cindy Cox officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1919 FLOWERS CIRCLE, THOMASVILLE GA 31757
Chubb Thomas Caldecot Iii director 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Melvin T Stith director 1111 BAY AVENUE, SUITE 501, COLUMBUS GA 31901
Thomas L Winters officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 1919 FLOWERS CIRCLE, THOMASVILLE GA 31757
Heeth Iv Varnedoe officer: Chief Transformation Officer 1919 FLOWERS CIRCLE, THOMASVILLE GA 31757
William Jameson Mcfadden director 140 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10005
Brad Cashaw officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 2711 NORTH HASKELL AVENUE, SUITE 3400, DALLAS TX 75204
Terry S Thomas director 6430 STEFANI DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75225
Casey Edward J. Jr. director 835 HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 150, ALLENTOWN PA 18101

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