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Calpine (Calpine) Altman Z2-Score : -0.77 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Calpine Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Calpine has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.77, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Calpine's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Calpine Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Calpine's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Calpine Altman Z2-Score Chart

Calpine Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Altman Z2-Score
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Calpine Quarterly Data
Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Calpine's Altman Z2-Score

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Calpine's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Calpine's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Calpine's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Calpine's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Calpine Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Calpine's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0263+3.26*-0.3982+6.72*0.0187+1.05*0.2232
=-0.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2017:
Total Assets was $16,453 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,306 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,874 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-6,552 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -280 + 229 + -149 + -113 = $-313 Mil.
Interest Expense was -152 + -156 + -154 + -159 = $-621 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $13,386 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2306 - 1874)/16453
=0.0263

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-6552/16453
=-0.3982

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-313 - -621)/16453
=0.0187

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2988 - 0)/13386
=0.2232

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Calpine has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.77 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Calpine  (NYSE:CPN) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Calpine Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Calpine's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Calpine (Calpine) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Calpine is the largest natural gas power producer in the United States, with 3.0 GW of simple-cycle combustion turbines, 6.3 GW of combined-cycle cogeneration, and 15.8 GW of combined-cycle combustion turbines. It also owns 725 MW of geothermal generation in California geothermal generation and 4 MW of solar generation.
Executives
David C Merritt director CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC, 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE, ST LOUIS MO 63131
W. Thaddeus Miller officer: EVP, CLO and Secretary 717 TEXAS AVENUE, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jack A Fusco director C/O FOSTER WHEELER LTD., PERRYVILLE CORPORATE PARK, CLINTON NJ 08809
Frank Cassidy director
Thad Hill director, officer: President & CEO 717 TEXAS AVENUE, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Mosbacher Robert A Jr director 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
W Benjamin Moreland director C/O CLEAR CHANNEL OUTDOOR HOLDINGS, INC., 4830 NORTH LOOP 1604W, SUITE 111, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Laurie Brlas director C/O ALBEMARLE CORPORATION, 4250 CONGRESS ST STE 900, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Denise M Oleary director MEDTRONIC INC, 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC310, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432-5604
San Francisco Partners Lp 10 percent owner PO BOX 2722, C/O SPO PARTNERS & CO, SAN ANSELMO CA 94979
Spo Advisory Corp 10 percent owner PO BOX 2722, C/O SPO PARTNERS & CO, SAN ANSELMO CA 94979
Sf Advisory Partners Lp 10 percent owner 591 REDWOOD HIGHWAY STE 3215, C/O SPO PARTNERS & CO, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Spo Partners Ii Lp 10 percent owner PO BOX 2722, C/O SPO PARTNERS & CO, SAN ANSELMO CA 94979
John H Scully 10 percent owner 591 REDWOOD HIGHWAY, SUITE 3215, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Spo Advisory Partners Lp 10 percent owner 591 REDWOOD HIGHWAY, STE 3215, MILL VALLEY CA 94941

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