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Churchill Downs (Churchill Downs) Altman Z2-Score : 0.82 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Churchill Downs Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Churchill Downs has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.82, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CHDN' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 1.29   Max: 3.81
Current: 0.82

During the past 13 years, Churchill Downs's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.81. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 1.29.


Churchill Downs Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Churchill Downs Altman Z2-Score Chart

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.41 0.35 1.66 0.92 1.04

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.18 1.23 1.03 1.04 0.82

Competitive Comparison of Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Churchill Downs Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0596+3.26*0.1171+6.72*0.1031+1.05*0.1325
=0.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $7,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $416 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $837 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $828 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 101.8 + 71.9 + 81.8 + 199.2 = $455 Mil.
Interest Expense was -70.4 + -70.6 + -67.9 + -65.2 = $-274 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $6,240 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(416 - 837.2)/7066.8
=-0.0596

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=827.8/7066.8
=0.1171

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(454.7 - -274.1)/7066.8
=0.1031

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(826.9 - 0)/6239.9
=0.1325

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Churchill Downs has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.82 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Churchill Downs  (NAS:CHDN) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Churchill Downs Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Churchill Downs's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Churchill Downs (Churchill Downs) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The TwinSpires segment includes the revenue and expenses for online horse racing and the online and retail sports betting and iGaming wagering business. The company generates more than half of its revenue from the Gaming segment includes revenue from casino properties and associated racetrack or jai alai facilities which support the casino license as applicable.
Executives
Maureen Adams officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVLLE KY 40222
Bradley K. Blackwell officer: SVP, General Counsel 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Andrea M Carter director 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Karole Lloyd director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
R Alex Rankin director 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Robert L Fealy director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Bridgeman Ulysses L Jr director 7 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Marcia A Dall officer: EVP, and Chief Financial Offic 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Austin W. Miller officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Douglas C Grissom director THREE FIRST NATIONAL PLAZA STE 3800, CHICAGO IL 60602
William E Mudd officer: President and COO 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Daniel P Harrington director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Richard L Duchossois director, 10 percent owner
Robert L Evans director, officer: President and CEO TENLANE FARM, 825 STEELE ROAD, VESAILLES KY 40383