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China Green Agriculture (China Green Agriculture) Altman Z2-Score : 2.31 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is China Green Agriculture Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

China Green Agriculture has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.31, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that China Green Agriculture is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CGA' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.66   Med: 10.79   Max: 23.43
Current: 2.31

During the past 13 years, China Green Agriculture's highest Altman Z2-Score was 23.43. The lowest was -1.66. And the median was 10.79.


China Green Agriculture Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Green Agriculture Altman Z2-Score Chart

China Green Agriculture Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.37 5.78 2.75 0.95 2.83

China Green Agriculture Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.46 3.54 2.83 2.66 2.31

Competitive Comparison of China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



China Green Agriculture Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

China Green Agriculture's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.4648+3.26*-0.6639+6.72*-0.0868+1.05*1.9092
=2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $186.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $150.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $63.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-123.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -5.382 + -1.789 + -9.445 + 0.19 = $-16.4 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.074 + -0.068 + -0.079 + -0.066 = $-0.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $63.9 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(150.414 - 63.945)/186.028
=0.4648

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-123.511/186.028
=-0.6639

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-16.426 - -0.287)/186.028
=-0.0868

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(122.083 - 0)/63.945
=1.9092

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

China Green Agriculture has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.31 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


China Green Agriculture  (NYSE:CGA) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Green Agriculture Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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China Green Agriculture (China Green Agriculture) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
South Taibai Road, 3rd Floor, Borough A, Block A. No. 181, Shaanxi Province, Xi’an, CHN, 710065
China Green Agriculture Inc is engaged in the business of fertilizer and agricultural products. It involves the research, development, production, distribution, and sale of humic acid-based compound fertilizer, blended fertilizer, organic compound fertilizer, slow-release fertilizers, concentrated water-soluble fertilizers, and mixed organic-inorganic compound fertilizer and the development, production, and distribution of agricultural products, such as top-grade fruits, vegetables, flowers and colored seedlings in China. The company operates in three segments: Fertilizer products (Jinong), Fertilizer products (Gufeng), and agricultural products (Yuxing). All of its operations are conducted in China.
Executives
Zhibiao Pan officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer NO.39, GROUP NO.1 GANGANG VILLAGE, WULIE COUNTY, DONGTAI F4 224200
Caihua Ran 10 percent owner, other: Director's Mother GROUP NO.4, XIAOHE VILLAGE, TOWNSHIP OF XIAOHE, YOUYANG COUNTY, CHONGQING F4 409800
Xiuzhen Xu 10 percent owner, other: Co-CEO's Mother NO.39, GROUP NO.1 GANGANG VILLAGEN, LIANYI COUNTY, DONGTAI F4 224200
Jian Huang director 676-GROUP 4, XIAOHE VILLAGE, TOWNSHIP OF XIAOHE, YOUYANG COUNTY, CHONGQING F4 409800
Xiaolai Li director NO. 20 BALUN VILLAGE, QIONGSHAN DISTRICT, HAIKOU F4 571100
Zhang Shiyu director 1919 MARKET ST., UNIT 812, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Shaanxi Baoyu Science & Technology Investment Co 10 percent owner 86 86 GAOXIN ROAD B-1-6F, XI'AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 710075
Daqing Zhu director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181,, SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI'AN, SHAANXI F4 710065
Zhuoyu Li officer: President 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A, NO. 181, SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI'AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 710065
Yiru Shi director 1217 S CATALINA AVENUE, REDONDO BEACH CA 90277
Ale Fan director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181, SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Jianlei Shen director 3RD FLOOR, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A. NO. 181, SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI?AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 PRC 710065
Ken Ren officer: Chief Financial Officer 3RD FL, BOROUGH A, BLOCK A, NO. 181 SOUTH TAIBAI ROAD, XI'AN, SHAANXI PROVINCE F4 710065
Yizhao Zhang director 45 OLD MILLSTONE DRIVE, NIT 6, EAST WINDSOR NJ 08520
Robert B Fields director 215 EAST 68TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10021