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ATI (ATI) Altman Z2-Score : 3.22 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is ATI Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

ATI has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.22, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for ATI's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ATI' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 2.95   Max: 3.71
Current: 3.22

During the past 13 years, ATI's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.71. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 2.95.


ATI Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for ATI's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ATI Altman Z2-Score Chart

ATI Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.71 0.24 3.00 2.89 3.22

ATI Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.89 3.60 3.84 3.98 3.22

Competitive Comparison of ATI's Altman Z2-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, ATI's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ATI's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, ATI's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ATI's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



ATI Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

ATI's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3532+3.26*-0.0141+6.72*0.0804+1.05*0.3918
=3.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $4,985 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,738 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $977 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-70 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 51.4 + 84.5 + 82.8 + 76.5 = $295 Mil.
Interest Expense was -40.8 + -23.8 + -21.3 + -19.9 = $-106 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,505 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2737.7 - 977.1)/4985.1
=0.3532

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-70.1/4985.1
=-0.0141

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(295.2 - -105.8)/4985.1
=0.0804

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1373 - 0)/3504.6
=0.3918

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

ATI has a Altman Z2-Score of 3.22 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


ATI  (NYSE:ATI) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


ATI Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ATI's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ATI (ATI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2021 McKinney Avenue, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201
ATI Inc supplies specialty metals to various end markets, including aerospace and defense, oil and gas, automotive, and electrical energy, among many others. The company's operating segment includes High-Performance Materials and Components and Advanced Alloys and Solutions. The majority of revenue is from the Advanced Alloys and Solutions segment. The AA&S segment is focused on delivering high-value flat products, Other important end markets for AA&S include automotive & electronics. AA&S produces nickel-based alloys, titanium & titanium-based alloys, & specialty alloys in a variety of forms including plate, sheet, and strip products. Geographically, it operates in the United States, China, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Canada and Others, the majority is from the United States.
Executives
Elliot S Davis officer: Sr VP, GC, CCO and Secretary 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-5479
James C Diggs director 1000 SIX PPG PL, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Timothy J Harris officer: Senior VP and CDIO C/O ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Ruby Sharma director 24 ARNOLD DRIVE, PRINCETON JCT. NJ 08550
Jimmy Jr. Williams officer: SVP, CTO C/O ATI INC., 2021 MCKINNEY AVE., SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75201
Robert S Wetherbee officer: EVP, ATI Flat-Rolled Products MINERALS TECHNOLOGIES INC, 622 THIRD AVENUE 38TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Tina Killough Busch officer: SVP, CHRO C/O ATI INC., 2021 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75201
Karl D Schwartz officer: Controller & Princ. Acctg Off. 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-5479
Kevin B Kramer officer: Sr. VP, CCMO C/O STONERIGDGE INC., 9400 E. MARKET ST, WARREN OH 44484
Donald P Newman officer: SVP and CFO 224 S 108TH AVENUE, OMAHA NE 68154
Marianne Kah director C/O ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED, 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Elizabeth C Powers officer: Senior VP, CHRO C/O DRESSER-RAND GROUP INC., PAUL CLARK DRIVE, OLEAN NY 14760
M Leroy Ball director 436 SEVENTH AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
David P Hess director 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kimberly A Fields officer: EVP, Flat Rolled Products C/O ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED, 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15217

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