SS&C Technologies Holdings (SS&C Technologies Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is SS&C Technologies Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SS&C Technologies Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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SS&C Technologies Holdings (SS&C Technologies Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc (NAS:SSNC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SSNC:Mexico WGSA:Germany WGSA:Germany

Address

80 Lamberton Road, Windsor, CT, USA, 06095

Website

https://www.ssctech.com

SS&C Technologies provides software products and software-enabled services to a variety of customers primarily in financial services but also healthcare firms. SS&C GlobeOp provides fund administration services to alternative and traditional asset managers. In addition, SS&C provides portfolio accounting, portfolio management, trading, banking/lending, and other software to asset managers, banks, and financial advisors. SS&C's purchase of Intralinks makes it a leading player in Virtual Data Room solutions. With its purchase of DST Systems, SS&C gained a foothold in the healthcare industry with pharmacy health management solutions and medical claim administration services.

Executives

Normand A Boulanger	director, officer: President and COO	SS&C TECHNOLOGIES, 80 LAMBERTON RD, WINDSOR CT 06095
Rahul Kanwar	officer: Senior Vice President	80 LAMBERTON ROAD, WINDSOR CT 06095
Brian N Schell	officer: EVP & CFO	433 WEST VAN BUREN STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Patrick J Pedonti	officer: SVP and CFO	SS&C TECHNOLOGIES, 80 LAMBERTON RD, WINDSOR CT 06095
Jonathan E Michael	director	C/O RLI CORP, 9025 N. LINDBERGH DR., PEORIA IL 61615
William C Stone	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board & CEO
Jason Douglas White	officer: SVP & General Counsel	588 THE PARKWAY, MAMARONECK NY 10543
Joseph J. Frank	officer: Chief Legal Officer and GC	C/O SS&C TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 TIMES SQUARE, NEW YORK NY 10036
Michael E Daniels	director	TYCO, 9 ROSZEL ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Smita Conjeevaram	director	70 HERETOLD ROAD, BRONXVILLE NY 17708
Michael Jay Zamkow	director	27 KENSINGTON SQUARE, LONDON X0 06095
Paul Gerard Igoe	officer: Sr. VP & General Counsel	LYDALL, INC., ONE COLONIAL ROAD, MANCHESTER CT 06042
William A Etherington	director	CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK OF COMMERCE, 199 BAY STREET - SUITE 4460, TORONTO A6 M5L 1A2
Tc Group Iv, L.p.	10 percent owner	1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., SUITE 200 SOUTH, WASHINGTON DC 20004
Whitman Stephen V R	officer: SVP and General Counsel	SS&C TECHNOLOGIES, 80 LAMBERTON RD, WINDSOR CT 06095