Range Resources (Range Resources) Predictability Rank

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What is Range Resources Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Range Resources Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Range Resources (Range Resources) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Range Resources Corp (NYSE:RRC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

RAX:Germany RAX:Germany

Address

100 Throckmorton Street, Suite 1200, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76102

Website

https://www.rangeresources.com

Fort Worth-based Range Resources is an independent exploration and production company with that focuses entirely on its operations in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania. At year-end 2022, Range's proved reserves totaled 18.1 trillion cubic feet equivalent, with net production of 2.1 billion cubic feet equivalent per day. Natural gas accounted for 70% of production.

Executives

Dori Ginn	officer: Principal Financial Officer	100 THROCKMORTON SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Charles G. Griffie	director	1201 LAKE ROBBINS DR, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Reginal Spiller	director	100 THROCKMORTON STREET, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Greg G Maxwell	director	600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
Erin W Mcdowell	officer: SVP & General Counsel	100 THROCKMORTON STREET, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Mark Scucchi	officer: SVP & CFO	100 THROCKMORTON STREET, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Dennis Degner	officer: SVP & COO	100 THROCKMORTON STREET, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James M Funk	director	FOUR ALLEGHENY CENTER, 9TH FLOOR, PITTSBURGH PA 15212-5355
Jeffrey L Ventura	officer: President and COO	C/O RANGE RESOURCES CORPORATION, 100 THROCKMORTON, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
David P Poole	officer: Sr. VP & General Counsel	100 THROCKMORTON, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Steven D Gray	director	125 W. MISSOURI AVE., SUITE 450, MIDLAND TX 79701
Steffen E Palko	director
Margaret K Dorman	director	C/O SMITH INTERNATIONAL INC, PO BOX 60068, HOUSTON TX 77205
Sailingstone Capital Partners Llc	10 percent owner	100 WAUGH DRIVE, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77007
Settles Kenneth L Jr	10 percent owner	1 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 3050, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111