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Planet Labs PBC (Planet Labs PBC) Predictability Rank


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What is Planet Labs PBC Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Planet Labs PBC Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Planet Labs PBC Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Planet Labs PBC (Planet Labs PBC) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Planet Labs PBC (NYSE:PL) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
TGI SPCE NPK KAMN AERG SWBI ATRO DCO LILM EH RTX BA LMT XPAR:AIR NOC GD XPAR:SAF TDG LSE:BA. LHX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
645 Harrison Street, 4th Floor, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94107
Website
https://www.planet.com
Planet Labs PBC is an Earth-imaging company. The company provides daily satellite data that helps businesses, governments, researchers, and journalists understand the physical world and take action.
Executives
Ashley F. Johnson officer: See Remarks C/O PLANET LABS PBC, 645 HARRISON STREET, FLOOR 4, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
William Spencer Marshall director, officer: See Remarks C/O PLANET LABS PBC, 645 HARRISON STREET, FLOOR 4, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kevin Weil officer: President, Product & Business C/O PLANET LABS PBC,, 645 HARRISON STREET, FLOOR 4, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kristen Robinson director 2101 WEBSTER STREET #1650, OAKLAND CA 94612
Masi Niccolo De director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 HOWARD ST., SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ita M Brennan director 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Xxvi Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Vijaya Gadde director C/O TWITTER INC, 1355 MARKET STREET SUITE 900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Roizen Jo Ann Heidi director
Carl Bass director C/O AUTODESK INC, 111 MELNNIS PARKWAY, SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Alphabet Inc. 10 percent owner 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Google Llc 10 percent owner 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Robert H Schingler director, officer: See Remarks C/O PLANET LABS PBC, 645 HARRISON STREET, FLOOR 4, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Darla Anderson director C/O GLU MOBILE INC., 875 HOWARD STREET, SUITE 100, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Dmy Sponsor Iv, Llc director, 10 percent owner 1180 NORTH TOWN CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 100, LAS VEGAS NV 89144